Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the implementation of consumption-boosting actions and the optimization of the "Two New" policy, which is expected to support domestic demand growth in the household appliance sector [6] - In November 2025, China's household air conditioner production reached 10.577 million units, a year-on-year decline of 36.7%, with sales at 10.492 million units, down 31.8% year-on-year [6] - The "old-for-new" policy has significantly boosted sales, with related product sales exceeding 2.5 trillion yuan from January to November 2025, benefiting over 360 million consumers [6] - The household air conditioner market is currently experiencing a downturn due to multiple factors, including weak terminal demand following the reduction of national subsidies and high inventory levels in overseas markets [6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The relative performance over the last 12 months shows a decline of 9.87% compared to the CSI 300 index, while absolute returns were positive at 7.54% [3] Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the household appliance industry is under pressure, particularly in the air conditioning segment, which is facing a phase of adjustment [6] - The future competition in the vacuum cleaner market is expected to shift towards ecosystem building and service capabilities, moving beyond just product offerings [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading white goods companies such as Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, and Hisense Home Appliances, as well as black goods exporters like TCL Electronics and Hisense Visual [6]
“两新”政策优化及延续,11月家用空调内外销数据出炉
Jianghai Securities·2025-12-23 12:13