宏观固收周报：A股高位震荡，债市窄幅波动-20251223

Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. Group 2: Core View - The A-share market is in a high-level oscillation, and the bond market has narrow fluctuations. The A-share market may continue to oscillate at a high level in the future. It is recommended to pay attention to investment opportunities in directions such as satellites, chemicals, new energy, photovoltaics, chips, computing power, and artificial intelligence. The bond market may continue to have narrow fluctuations, and the 10-year Treasury bond yield above 1.80% has allocation value. The gold price is expected to maintain a strong oscillation trend [3][12]. Group 3: Summary of Market Performance Stock Market - U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Nasdaq up 0.48%, the S&P 500 up 0.10%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -0.67%. The Nasdaq China Technology Index fell -1.96%. The Hang Seng Index dropped -1.10% [3]. - Most A-share sectors declined, with the Wind All A Index down -0.15%. Among them, the CSI A100, CSI 300, and CSI 1000 decreased by -0.82%, -0.28%, and -0.56% respectively, while the CSI 2000 and Wind Micro-cap stocks increased by 0.30% and 3.12% respectively. In terms of sector style, Shanghai blue-chips rose while growth stocks fell, and Shenzhen blue-chips and growth stocks both declined. The North Exchange 50 Index decreased by -0.13%. In terms of industry performance, 20 out of 30 CITIC industries rose, with the leading sectors being commerce and retail and catering and tourism, with a weekly increase of more than 4.0%. ETFs related to tourism, satellites, aerospace, and chemicals also performed well, with a weekly increase of over 4.0% [4][5]. Bond Market - China's Treasury bond yields declined slightly. The 10-year Treasury bond futures contract rose 0.15% compared to December 12, 2025. The yield of the 10-year active Treasury bond decreased by 0.88 BP to 1.8308%. Yields of all maturity varieties decreased [6]. - U.S. Treasury bond yields mostly declined, and the yield curve became flatter. As of December 19, 2025, the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield decreased by -3 BP to 4.16%. Only the 6-month maturity yield increased, while the rest decreased [8][9]. Currency Market - The U.S. dollar strengthened, and the RMB appreciated against the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index rose 0.32%. The U.S. dollar against the euro, pound, and yen changed by 0.25%, -0.07%, and 1.16% respectively. The U.S. dollar against the offshore and onshore RMB exchange rates decreased by 0.28% and 0.20% respectively [10]. Commodity Market - Gold and silver prices generally rose. London gold spot prices fell 0.22% to $4337.60 per ounce, while COMEX gold futures prices rose 1.19% to $4354.00 per ounce. Domestic gold prices rose, with Shanghai gold spot up 1.17% to 975.51 yuan per gram and futures up 1.10% to 977.88 yuan per gram. London silver spot prices rose 1.98% to $65.79 per ounce; COMEX silver futures prices rose 9.39% to $66.79 per ounce. Domestic silver prices showed term differentiation, with Shanghai silver spot up 3.08% to 15359 yuan per kilogram and futures down 4.40% to 14811 yuan per kilogram [11]. Group 4: Other Market Conditions - Capital prices showed mixed trends. As of December 19, 2025, R007 rose 0.73 BP to 1.5148%, and DR007 decreased 2.78 BP to 1.4413%, with the spread between the two widening. The central bank's open market operations had a net injection of 190 billion yuan [7].