Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report indicates that on December 23, 2025, the four major index futures contracts showed mixed performance. The trading volume of index futures decreased overall, reflecting a decline in investors' trading enthusiasm. The holdings of different index futures varied, with some increasing and some decreasing. The trend strength of IF and IH, as well as IC and IM, is 1. There were important policy - related events such as the National Housing and Urban - Rural Development Work Conference and the Central Enterprise Leaders' Meeting, which may impact the market. The A - share market had a narrow - range consolidation, while the Hong Kong stock market trended lower [1][2][6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content 3.1 Index Futures Data - On December 23, IF rose 0.15%, IH rose 0.17%, IC rose 0.04%, and IM fell 0.16%. The trading volume of index futures decreased overall, with IF down 789 lots, IC down 7094 lots, and IM down 1632 lots, while IH increased 817 lots. In terms of holdings, IF increased 7033 lots, IH decreased 761 lots, IC decreased 1024 lots, and IM increased 2002 lots [1][2]. - Specific contract data: For example, the closing price of IF2601 was 4598.8, up 0.15%, with a basis of - 21.93; the closing price of IH2601 was 3024.2, up 0.17%, with a basis of - 3.32; the closing price of IC2601 was 7223.6, up 0.04%, with a basis of - 33.19; the closing price of IM2601 was 7343, down 0.16%, with a basis of - 49.42 [1]. 3.2 Top 20 Member Holdings Changes - For IF contracts, the long - position changes of different contracts varied, such as - 28 for IF2601 and 5463 for IF2603. The short - position changes also differed, like - 330 for IF2601 and 5797 for IF2603 [5]. - Similar situations occurred in IH, IC, and IM contracts. For example, in IH2601, the long - position increased by 289, and the short - position decreased by 98 [5]. 3.3 Trend Strength The trend strength of IF and IH, as well as IC and IM, is 1, indicating a neutral state. The trend strength ranges from - 2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [6]. 3.4 Important Driving Factors - The National Housing and Urban - Rural Development Work Conference proposed to adjust and optimize real - estate policies, support housing demand, and reform the housing provident fund system [6]. - The Central Enterprise Leaders' Meeting required central enterprises to play important roles in infrastructure construction, supply - chain security, technological innovation, and serving national strategies, and to further deepen state - owned enterprise reforms [7]. 3.5 Stock Market Performance - A - share market: The three major A - share indexes had a narrow - range consolidation. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.07% to 3919.98 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.27%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.41%. The trading volume was 1.92 trillion yuan, slightly higher than the previous day. Lithium - battery and lithography - machine industries were strong, while the commercial - space theme had a deep correction [7]. - Hong Kong stock market: The Hang Seng Index fell 0.11% to 25774.14 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.69% to 5488.89 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.29% to 8913.83 points. The trading volume was 1571.31 billion Hong Kong dollars, less than the previous day [8].
期指:驱动待寻,窄幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-12-24 01:52