西部证券晨会纪要-20251224

Group 1: Core Conclusions - The core conclusion of the report indicates that the pig farming industry is experiencing a significant increase in the number of pigs marketed in November 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 26.67% but a month-on-month decrease of 2.96% [1][4] - The revenue of listed pig companies in November 2025 was 22.556 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 17.03% and a month-on-month decrease of 4.94% [1][5] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - In November 2025, the total number of pigs marketed by listed companies reached 18.2581 million, with leading companies such as Muyuan, Wens, and New Hope reporting respective sales of 6.602 million, 4.3535 million, and 1.5675 million pigs, showing year-on-year increases of 11.80%, 49.71%, and 24.44% [4][5] - The cumulative number of pigs marketed from January to November 2025 was 176 million, with a stable year-on-year growth rate of approximately 21.42% [4] - The average selling price of pigs in November 2025 increased by 1.60% month-on-month but decreased by 30.05% year-on-year, indicating a significant drop in prices due to oversupply and weak demand during the peak season [6][5] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests seizing opportunities in the pig farming sector, focusing on companies with strong growth in marketing and stable operations, recommending companies such as Muyuan, Wens, Tangrenshen, Huadong, and Juxing Agriculture [7]