11月社零低于预期，CoWoS产能紧张助力先进封装产业

Consumption Insights - In November, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 43,898 billion yuan, with a nominal growth rate of 1.3%, marking a new low in 25 years[15] - The decline in retail sales is attributed to a high base from last year's national subsidies and the pre-emptive consumption during the Double Eleven shopping festival[15] - Automotive retail sales, which saw a year-on-year decline of 8.3% in November, are a core reason for the pressure on overall retail sales[20] Advanced Technology Insights - CoWoS capacity is tight, with TSMC planning to expand its production by 20%-30% by 2026, reaching a monthly capacity of approximately 125,000 wafers[25] - The global market for chiplet multi-chip integrated packaging is expected to grow rapidly, reaching $25.82 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 25.8% from 2024 to 2029[25] Healthcare Insights - In the 2025 national negotiation directory, 127 drugs were included, with 114 new drugs entering the basic medical insurance directory, achieving a success rate of 88%[36] - The commercial insurance directory for innovative drugs has added 19 new drugs, with a success rate of approximately 79%[36]