敏实集团（00425）：电池盒放量驱动业绩高增，机器人等新兴赛道打开长期成长空间

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, considering its leadership in the exterior and structural components sector and ongoing expansion into new products and customers [3]. Core Insights - The company is a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and body structure components, with a diversified business model that includes metal trims, plastic parts, aluminum components, and battery boxes for electric vehicles [1][14]. - The battery box business is highlighted as a key growth driver, with a projected revenue CAGR of 173% from 2020 to 2024, and it is expected to account for 27% of total revenue by the first half of 2025 [2][3]. - The company is actively expanding into emerging sectors such as humanoid robotics, liquid cooling for AI servers, and low-altitude flying vehicles, which are expected to contribute to long-term growth [3][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has over 30 years of experience in the automotive parts industry and serves more than 70 leading automotive manufacturers globally, with overseas revenue increasing from 41% in 2021 to 65% in the first half of 2025 [1][14]. - The business structure is continuously optimized, with the battery box segment becoming the largest revenue source [1][2]. 2. Business Performance - The traditional exterior parts business remains robust, with steady growth driven by lightweight and intelligent upgrades [2]. - The aluminum product segment is benefiting from the automotive lightweight trend, with a projected revenue CAGR of 12% from 2020 to 2024 and a maintained gross margin above 30% [1][2]. 3. Financial Projections - The company expects to achieve net profits of 2.81 billion, 3.44 billion, and 4.07 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 21%, 22%, and 18% [3][5]. - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 13x, 11x, and 9x, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation as the company scales its operations [3][5]. 4. Emerging Business Opportunities - The company is entering new markets such as humanoid robotics and AI server cooling, with strategic partnerships established to enhance its product offerings [3][11]. - Collaborations with companies like EHang for low-altitude flying vehicles and Siemens for wireless charging systems are part of the company's strategy to diversify its revenue streams [3][11].