格林期货早盘提示：钢材-20251225
Ge Lin Qi Huo·2025-12-25 01:35

Report Investment Rating - The investment rating for the steel industry in the black building materials sector is "Oscillating with a Bullish Bias" [3] Core View - The current market has weak supply and demand with no prominent contradictions. It is expected that steel mill production will continue to operate at a low level, and the increase in demand during the off - season is limited. The screw and coil futures prices are expected to continue to fluctuate, with the resistance level for rebar at 3200 and the support level at 3030. Short - term operations are recommended [3] Summary by Relevant Catalog Market Review - Rebar and hot - rolled coils closed higher during the night session on Wednesday [3] Important Information - Beijing has further optimized and adjusted the housing purchase restriction policy, including relaxing the conditions for non - Beijing household registration families to purchase houses, allowing multi - child families to buy an additional house within the Fifth Ring Road, and adjusting mortgage and provident fund loan policies [3] - According to CISA data, in mid - December, the average daily output of crude steel from key steel enterprises was 1.845 million tons, a 1.3% decrease from the previous period. The steel inventory was 16.01 million tons, an 8.6% increase from the previous ten - day period and a 2.6% increase from the same period last month [3] - The US government announced on the 23rd that it will impose tariffs on Chinese chips in 2027, ending a trade investigation initiated by the previous Biden administration. However, it will not impose additional tariffs on Chinese chips for at least 18 months [3] - This year, the State Grid will complete fixed - asset investment of over 650 billion yuan, a record high [3] Market Logic - The current market has weak supply and demand with no prominent contradictions. Steel mill production is expected to remain at a low level, and demand growth in the off - season is limited [3] Trading Strategy - Short - term operations are recommended [3]