沥青：现货暂稳

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating 2. Core View of the Report - The asphalt spot price remains stable, and the trend strength is neutral with a value of 0 [1][11] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - Futures Information: The closing price of BU2602 yesterday was 2,996 yuan/ton, up 0.64%, and the night - session closing price was 3,001 yuan/ton, up 0.17%. The closing price of BU2603 yesterday was 3,006 yuan/ton, up 0.54%, and the night - session closing price was 3,006 yuan/ton, unchanged. The trading volume of BU2602 was 187,941 lots, a decrease of 54,265 lots, and the open interest was 190,035 lots, a decrease of 14,707 lots. The trading volume of BU2603 was 63,926 lots, a decrease of 8,291 lots, and the open interest was 148,146 lots, an increase of 2,627 lots. The total asphalt warehouse receipts in the market were 54,100 lots, unchanged [2] - Spread Information: The basis (Shandong - 02) was - 76 yuan/ton, a decrease of 19 yuan/ton compared with the previous day; the 02 - 03 inter - period spread was - 10 yuan/ton, an increase of 3 yuan/ton; the Shandong - South China spread was - 40 yuan/ton, unchanged; the East China - South China spread was 130 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] - Spot Market Information: The Shandong wholesale price was 2,920 yuan/ton, unchanged, and the factory - warehouse spot equivalent to the futures price was 3,077 yuan/ton, and the warehouse spot equivalent to the futures price was 3,222 yuan/ton. The Yangtze River Delta wholesale price was 3,090 yuan/ton, unchanged, and the factory - warehouse spot equivalent to the futures price was 3,157 yuan/ton, and the warehouse spot equivalent to the futures price was 3,223 yuan/ton [2] - Industry Data: As of December 22, the refinery operating rate was 37.26%, a decrease of 0.62% compared with December 18; the refinery inventory rate was 27.46%, a decrease of 0.04% compared with December 18 [2] 3.2 Market News - Geopolitical News: According to Wall Street Journal, the US has dispatched a large number of special - operations aircraft and transport planes to the Caribbean this week, and Trump has increased pressure on Venezuelan President Maduro, ordering the blockade of oil tankers entering and leaving the country [12] - Industry Data Changes: From December 18 - 24, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of 92 asphalt refineries in China was 33.1%, a month - on - month increase of 4.0%, and the capacity utilization rate of 77 domestic heavy - traffic asphalt enterprises was 31.3%, a month - on - month increase of 3.7%. From December 17 - 23, 2025, the total shipment volume of 54 domestic asphalt enterprises was 40.4 tons, a month - on - month increase of 15.4%. From December 17 - 23, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of 69 domestic modified asphalt sample enterprises was 7.1%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.6% and a year - on - year increase of 0.8% [12][13]