股指上涨,期指活跃度提升
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-12-25 02:54

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The central bank's monetary policy committee held its fourth - quarter meeting, suggesting leveraging the integrated effect of incremental and existing policies, strengthening monetary policy regulation, and promoting low - cost social comprehensive financing. The meeting emphasized maintaining capital market stability but did not mention the real estate market. The US plans to impose tariffs on Chinese semiconductor products from 2027, and China firmly opposes this [1]. - A - share major indices rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.53% to 3940.95 points and the ChiNext Index up 0.77%. Most sector indices rose, and the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.8 trillion yuan. US stocks also closed higher on Christmas Eve [1]. - In the futures market, the basis of stock index futures was repaired, and the trading volume and open interest increased simultaneously [2]. - The broader market showed a slight increase in volume, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving six consecutive positive days. However, the overall willingness to take over was slightly insufficient, and there was some divergence among broad - based indices. The Shanghai Composite Index has not reached the resistance level, and the main tone is still oscillatory repair [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Macroeconomic Charts - The charts include the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, US Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rates and A - share trends, and US Treasury yields and A - share style trends [6][12][10] 2. Spot Market Tracking Charts - The daily performance of major domestic stock indices on December 24, 2025: the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.53% to 3940.95, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.88% to 13486.42, the ChiNext Index rose 0.77% to 3229.58, the CSI 300 Index rose 0.29% to 4634.06, the SSE 50 Index fell 0.08% to 3025.18, the CSI 500 Index rose 1.31% to 7352.04, and the CSI 1000 Index rose 1.54% to 7506.38 [14]. - The charts include the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and the margin trading balance [15] 3. Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts - The trading volume and open interest of stock index futures: IF trading volume was 98971 (+6942), open interest was 272260 (+1836); IH trading volume was 39414 (+1602), open interest was 83057 (+229); IC trading volume was 120446 (+24352), open interest was 271262 (+15502); IM trading volume was 185772 (+40779), open interest was 363902 (+11974) [16]. - The basis of stock index futures: for IF, the basis of the current - month contract was - 16.46 (+5.47), the next - month contract was - 29.66 (+9.47), the current - quarter contract was - 39.06 (+10.27), and the next - quarter contract was - 88.46 (+11.07); for IH, the basis of the current - month contract was 0.02 (+3.34), the next - month contract was - 0.58 (+3.74), the current - quarter contract was 1.82 (+3.74), and the next - quarter contract was - 5.38 (+7.74); for IC, the basis of the current - month contract was - 27.44 (+5.75), the next - month contract was - 74.64 (+7.75), the current - quarter contract was - 111.64 (+11.95), and the next - quarter contract was - 297.64 (+18.55); for IM, the basis of the current - month contract was - 42.18 (+7.24), the next - month contract was - 115.78 (+11.84), the current - quarter contract was - 178.78 (+16.24), and the next - quarter contract was - 417.78 (+15.44) [41]. - The inter - delivery spread of stock index futures: for the next - month minus the current - month spread, IF was - 13.20 (+4.00), IH was - 0.60 (+0.40), IC was - 47.20 (+2.00), and IM was - 73.60 (+4.60); for other spread combinations, specific values and changes are also provided [46][48][51]