Changjiang Securities·2025-12-25 09:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the insurance sector [12]. Core Insights - The current valuation of A/H shares in the insurance sector reflects ongoing concerns about "interest spread losses" in the medium to long term. However, under a new analytical framework, the insurance industry's interest spread is expected to improve continuously in the medium to long term. The recent strong growth in liabilities and the "deposit migration" logic suggest that the stabilization and expansion of interest spreads may accelerate, leading to a quicker recovery in valuations. The report continues to favor the insurance sector, recommending specific stocks such as New China Life, Ping An Insurance, China Life, and China Pacific Insurance [2][9]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Changes - The report discusses the background of new regulations, highlighting changes in the external environment, policies, and accounting standards that necessitate new asset-liability management requirements. The "National Ten Measures" for insurance in 2024 emphasizes the need for stronger asset-liability linkage supervision. Additionally, the implementation of new accounting standards in 2026 will significantly impact the effects of interest rate fluctuations on assets and liabilities, raising the bar for asset-liability management [6][7]. New Regulatory Requirements - The new regulations introduce long-term assessments with clear quantitative indicators. For property insurance companies, three regulatory indicators must be met: a coverage ratio of settled funds ≥ 100%, an income coverage ratio ≥ 100%, and a liquidity coverage ratio under stress scenarios ≥ 100%. For life insurance companies, four indicators are required: an effective duration gap not exceeding ±5 years, a comprehensive investment income coverage ratio ≥ 100%, a net investment income coverage ratio ≥ 100%, and a liquidity coverage ratio under stress scenarios ≥ 100% [8][17]. Long-term Outlook - The report expresses optimism about the long-term healthy development of the insurance industry and the potential for valuation recovery. It notes that the current valuation of A/H shares still reflects concerns about medium to long-term "interest spread losses." However, with the anticipated improvement in interest spreads and the strong growth in liabilities, the process of stabilization and expansion is expected to accelerate, leading to a faster recovery in valuations [9][2].