资金面保持宽松态势,配置盘入场提振债市震荡走强
Dong Fang Jin Cheng·2025-12-26 00:20

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - On December 23, the liquidity remained loose; the entry of allocation funds boosted the bond market to strengthen with fluctuations; the convertible bond market adjusted, with most convertible bond issues declining; yields of U.S. Treasuries across maturities generally rose, while yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies generally fell [1] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News 3.1.1 Domestic News - President Xi Jinping emphasized that central enterprises should serve the overall situation, optimize the layout of the state - owned economy, strengthen R & D of key core technologies, deepen reforms, and balance development and security [3] - Premier Li Qiang pointed out that during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period, central enterprises should play a key role in infrastructure construction, ensure the autonomy and controllability of the industrial chain, support technological self - reliance, serve national strategies, and deepen state - owned enterprise reforms [4] - The National Housing and Urban - Rural Development Work Conference stated that during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period, the real estate market has great potential. It is necessary to establish a new development model, implement city - specific policies, and promote the healthy development of the real estate market [6] 3.1.2 International News - The U.S. GDP in Q3 grew at an annualized quarterly rate of 4.3%, exceeding expectations. Consumer spending was strong, while investment performance was divided, with non - residential investment slowing and residential investment dragging down the economy [7] - In October, U.S. durable goods orders decreased by 2.2% month - on - month, worse than expected. However, the year - on - year growth rate remained positive, and core orders showed resilience [8] 3.1.3 Commodities - On December 23, international crude oil futures prices continued to rise, and international natural gas prices rose by over 10%. Gold futures also saw an increase [9] 3.2 Liquidity 3.2.1 Open Market Operations - On December 23, the central bank conducted 593 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate of 1.40%. With 1353 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, the net capital withdrawal was 760 billion yuan [11] 3.2.2 Funding Rates - On December 23, the liquidity remained loose. DR001 decreased by 0.14bp to 1.269%, and DR007 decreased by 2.32bp to 1.411%. Other funding rates also showed various changes [12][13] 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics 3.3.1 Interest - Bearing Bonds - On December 23, the bond market strengthened with fluctuations due to the obvious entry of allocation funds. Yields of 10 - year Treasury and China Development Bank bonds both decreased by 0.85bp. Yields of bonds across other maturities also generally declined [14][15] - There were no Treasury or China Development Bank bond issuances on that day [16] 3.3.2 Credit Bonds - On December 23, the trading prices of two industrial bonds deviated by over 10%, with "21 Vanke 06" falling by over 10% and "23 Vanke MTN001" rising by over 23% [17] - Multiple companies announced important events, including cancellations of proposals, legal disputes, disciplinary actions, and the completion of restructuring plans [20] 3.3.3 Convertible Bonds - On December 23, the three major A - share indices rose. The convertible bond market adjusted, with major indices falling. The trading volume increased. Most convertible bond issues declined, with some issues rising or falling significantly [19] - Jin 05 Convertible Bond will start online subscription on December 25. Some convertible bonds announced early redemptions or were about to trigger early redemption conditions [25] 3.3.4 Overseas Bond Markets - On December 23, yields of U.S. Treasuries across maturities generally rose. The yield spread between 2 - year and 10 - year U.S. Treasuries narrowed by 3bp, and the 10 - year inflation - protected Treasury (TIPS) break - even inflation rate rose by 1bp [22][23][24] - Yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies generally fell [26] - The prices of some Chinese - funded U.S. dollar bonds changed. The top 10 gainers and losers had different price movements [28]

资金面保持宽松态势,配置盘入场提振债市震荡走强 - Reportify