Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-12-26 00:42Group 1: JD (京东) Analysis - The revenue for Q4 2025 is projected to decline by 0.4% year-on-year to 345.5 billion yuan, with adjusted net profit expected to be 216 million yuan, resulting in a net profit margin of 0.1% [2][12] - JD's retail revenue is anticipated to decrease by 4.7% year-on-year to 292.6 billion yuan in Q4 2025, primarily due to a high base effect from the previous year driven by national subsidies [3][12] - The company is expected to face pressure on growth in the battery-powered category, while the daily necessities category is projected to maintain relatively stable growth [3][12] - JD is actively responding to market changes by increasing subsidies, which may lead to a decline in retail profit margins year-on-year [3][12] - The company is focusing on its food delivery and international business, with expectations of narrowing losses in the food delivery segment in Q4 [12] - JD has launched "JD Review" to innovate the local life service ecosystem, aiming to provide objective consumer references [12] Group 2: Deer Chemical (迪尔化工) Analysis - Deer Chemical is transitioning from a cyclical business model to a growth-oriented one by integrating its nitrate production with molten salt energy storage [4][11] - The company is expected to see a gradual increase in production capacity starting in 2025, which will enhance its sales and overall performance [4][11] - The traditional business is anticipated to recover as the chemical industry stabilizes, with nitrate prices supported by liquid ammonia [11][13] - The demand for molten salt is projected to grow significantly due to its applications in concentrated solar power and flexible coal power generation [13][16] - The company aims to establish a complete product matrix involving potassium nitrate and sodium nitrate, enhancing its competitive edge in the energy storage market [16] Group 3: Unisoc (紫光国微) Analysis - Unisoc is collaborating with Ningde Times to establish a leading platform for automotive-grade chips, enhancing its market competitiveness [15][16] - The establishment of Unisoc Tongxin aims to optimize capital structure and improve performance in the automotive domain [16] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for special integrated circuits driven by national defense and commercial aerospace sectors [16] - Unisoc maintains its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 1.723 billion, 2.460 billion, and 3.495 billion yuan respectively, with a strong growth outlook [16]