冠通期货资讯早间报-20251226

Report Summary 1. Overnight Night Market Trends - Most domestic futures main contracts rose at the 23:00 close, with fuel oil and rapeseed meal up nearly 2%, and PX and PTA up over 1.5%. Jiao coal, coke, LPG, and glass fell over 1% [5]. - At the 1:00 close, Shanghai copper, aluminum, zinc, nickel, tin, and international copper main contracts rose, while the alumina main contract fell [5]. - At the 2:30 close, Shanghai gold, silver, and SC crude oil main contracts rose [6]. 2. Important News Macro News - China has lodged solemn representations with the US over its plan to impose 301 tariffs on some Chinese semiconductor products [9]. - Ukrainian President Zelensky had a good call with US representatives, emphasizing efforts to end the conflict [9]. Energy and Chemical Futures - As of December 25, 2025, the total inventory of national float glass sample enterprises increased slightly, while domestic soda ash manufacturers' inventory decreased [11]. - Russia's plan to produce 100 million tons of LNG annually has been postponed due to sanctions [11]. - Iraq has lost power - generation capacity due to the interruption of Iranian natural - gas supply [11]. - China will take measures to ensure the supply and price stability of fertilizers [13]. Metal Futures - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange has adjusted trading rules for platinum, palladium, and polysilicon futures contracts [15][16]. - Tianqi Lithium will change its spot - trading settlement price starting from January 1, 2026 [16]. - Wanrun New Energy will conduct production - line maintenance, reducing its lithium iron phosphate output [16]. - Four leading silicon - wafer companies have significantly raised their quotes [17][35]. - CSPT decided not to set a reference price for spot copper concentrate processing fees in Q1 2026 [17]. Black - Series Futures - The Dalian Commodity Exchange will adjust the daily price limit for coke and coking coal futures contracts [19]. - China will strengthen the construction of infrastructure and energy reserves [19]. - The average profit per ton of independent coking plants varies by region [19]. - The output, inventory, and demand of rebar have changed in the week of December 25 [20]. - Coal - mine production in Zhaotong, Yunnan, has been temporarily suspended [22]. Agricultural Futures - Malaysia's palm - oil exports from December 1 - 25 increased by 1.6% compared to the same period last month [24]. - Sugar - mill operations and inventory in Guangxi have changed [24]. - Argentina's 2025/26 corn production is expected to be slightly lower due to drought risks [24]. 3. Financial Markets Financial - A - shares continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.47% and achieving a 7 - day winning streak [26]. - A - share listed companies' private placements have been active this year [28]. - The net inflow of the CSI A500ETF in December has been significant [29]. - Most private multi - asset strategy products have achieved positive returns this year [29]. - Analysts are optimistic about the A - share market in 2026 [29]. - The IPO application of Dapu Micro has been approved [31]. Industry - China has cracked down on financial "black - gray industries" [32]. - New regulations have been issued for the information disclosure of bank and insurance asset - management products [32]. - China will regulate the e - cigarette market [32]. - The government will strengthen the supervision of entrusted food production [32]. - Many game version numbers have been approved in December [33]. - Silicon - wafer prices have increased [35]. - China has made a breakthrough in the super - high - speed maglev field [35]. - Mobile phone shipments in China have increased [35]. - Shanghai will support the construction of the G60 Science and Technology Innovation Corridor [35]. Overseas - Israel may have another military conflict with Iran [36]. - Hungary's Prime Minister believes the root of the Russia - Ukraine conflict lies in the decline of Western Europe [36]. - Japan's 2026 fiscal - year initial budget has reached a record high [36]. - Japan has raised its economic forecast for the 2025 fiscal year [38]. - The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates [39]. - The Bank of Korea may cut interest rates in 2026 [40]. International Stock Markets - Japanese stocks rose slightly, while Vietnamese stocks tumbled [41]. - Morgan Stanley warns of three potential "surprises" in the US stock market in 2026 [41]. Commodities - Most domestic commodity futures closed higher, with new - energy materials leading the gains [42]. - The trading rules of platinum, palladium, and polysilicon futures on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange will be adjusted [42]. - Russia's oil production is expected to increase slightly in 2026 [42]. Bonds - China's bond market continued to fluctuate narrowly, and Japanese 2 - year bond auctions were weak [43]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose on Thursday [45]. 4. Upcoming Events - The People's Bank of China has 562 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing at 09:20 [47]. - The National Development and Reform Commission will hold a press conference at 10:30 [47]. - The 2025 Embodied Intelligence Development Frontier Conference and the 2025 Greater Bay Area Digital Chain Ecosystem Conference will be held on December 26 [47].