西部证券晨会纪要-20251226
Western Securities·2025-12-26 03:47

Group 1: Company Overview - The report covers Damai Entertainment (1060.HK), a leading platform in live entertainment, driven by ticketing and IP derivatives [1][6][8] - The company is positioned in a high-growth sector, benefiting from the recovery and structural upgrade of offline entertainment consumption [1][8] - Expected adjusted net profits for FY26-28 are projected at 1.06 billion, 1.35 billion, and 1.58 billion CNY respectively [1][8] Group 2: Industry Insights - The live performance market is experiencing a significant increase, with ticket sales for large concerts expected to exceed 26 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 78.1% [6] - The demand for live entertainment is driven by both personal enjoyment and social needs, with an increase in repeat attendance [6] - The supply side is expanding with diversification in lower-tier cities and various performance categories [6] Group 3: IP Business - Alibaba's IP licensing platform, Aliyu, is a leading player in the market, with a projected GMV of 4.1 billion USD in 2024 [7] - The company is enhancing its collaboration with top IPs, which is expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [7] - The film industry is still in a recovery phase, with a total box office of 29.23 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.91% [7] Group 4: Company Financials - Sinopec Engineering (02386.HK) is highlighted as a leading energy and chemical engineering firm with strong technical capabilities and a solid financial performance [10][12] - The company has a high dividend payout ratio, with a dividend yield exceeding 5%, providing stable returns for investors [10][12] - Expected target price for 2026 is set at 9.50 HKD per share, based on a 13x PE ratio [10] Group 5: Market Trends - The petrochemical industry is facing revenue stability but profit pressures, with a slight revenue decline of 2.6% year-on-year in H1 2025 [11] - The trend of "reducing oil and increasing chemicals" is evident, with a 9.94% year-on-year increase in ethylene consumption [11] - Global refining capacity continues to grow, particularly in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific regions, with a projected capital expenditure of 153.35 billion USD in 2024 [11] Group 6: Aviation Sector - Bank of China Aviation Leasing (02588.HK) is positioned to benefit from the rising aviation industry and the ongoing interest rate cut cycle [14][15] - The company ranks fifth globally with a fleet of 483 aircraft, poised to gain from increased revenues as the aviation market recovers [14][15] - Expected total revenue for 2025-2027 is projected at 2.63 billion, 2.85 billion, and 2.94 billion USD, with net profits of 761 million, 894 million, and 964 million USD respectively [16] Group 7: Medical Sector - Weisi Medical (688580.SH) is experiencing steady growth, with projected net profits of 133 million, 165 million, and 184 million CNY for 2025-2027 [4][18] - The company focuses on rehabilitation as its core business while expanding into aesthetic and urology sectors [18][19] - The company emphasizes product innovation in non-invasive brain-machine interfaces, aiming to create a comprehensive neuro-rehabilitation system [19]

西部证券晨会纪要-20251226 - Reportify