房地产及建材行业双周报（2025、12、12-2025、12、25）：北京楼市新政发布新一轮稳地产政策落地预期提升-20251226

Investment Ratings - Real Estate: Neutral [2] - Building Materials: Neutral [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the recent policy changes in Beijing aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, including relaxed purchasing conditions for non-local families and adjustments to mortgage rates [27][28] - The real estate sector is currently facing challenges such as sales pressure and investment contraction, but there is an expectation for continued policy support to drive industry transformation and recovery [27][28] - The building materials sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with cement prices showing signs of stabilization and a shift towards capacity upgrades through the replacement of outdated production facilities [4][5][29] Summary by Sections Real Estate Market Overview - As of December 25, 2025, the Shenwan Real Estate Index has decreased by 2.41% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.52 percentage points [14] - National real estate development investment from January to November 2025 was 78,591 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.9% [25] - The report anticipates that the real estate market will stabilize in 2026, with policies focusing on inventory reduction and supply optimization [27][28] Building Materials Market Overview - The Shenwan Building Materials Index has increased by 4.87% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.53 percentage points [29] - The national cement price index reached 102.75 points on December 24, 2025, reflecting a nearly 1% recovery from the November low [4] - The report suggests that the building materials sector is positioned for long-term growth, driven by demand for green building materials and technological advancements [7][50] Key Company Recommendations - In the real estate sector, companies such as Poly Developments (600048), Binjiang Group (002244), and China Merchants Shekou (001979) are favored due to their stable operations and focus on first- and second-tier cities [27] - For building materials, companies like Conch Cement (600585), Taishan Gypsum (002233), and Huaxin Cement (600801) are recommended for their strong fundamentals and attractive dividend yields [4][5]