Guoyuan Securities·2025-12-26 11:16Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry index increased by 0.99% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index and ranking 7th among 31 first-level industries [2][14] - Energy metals led the gains with a 5.58% increase, followed by small metals at 4.07%, precious metals at 2.19%, and new metal materials at 0.88% [2][14] - Significant price movements include a 14.62% increase in COMEX silver and a 21.88% rise in black tungsten concentrate [3][38] Summary by Sections Market Review - The non-ferrous metals industry index rose by 0.99% from December 8 to December 19, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index [14] - Energy metals saw the highest increase at 5.58%, followed by small metals (4.07%), precious metals (2.19%), and new metal materials (0.88%) [14] Precious Metals - As of December 19, 2025, COMEX gold closed at $4,369.70 per ounce, up 3.34% over two weeks, and up 63.55% year-to-date [3][23] - COMEX silver closed at $67.40 per ounce, up 14.62% over two weeks, and up 124.72% year-to-date [3][23] - The increase in gold and silver prices is attributed to geopolitical tensions and a lower interest rate environment following the Federal Reserve's rate cuts [24][27] Industrial Metals - LME copper closed at $11,845.00 per ton, up 1.72% over two weeks and up 36.38% year-to-date [31] - Domestic copper prices also increased, supported by steady demand from infrastructure projects and the renewable energy sector [31] - Recommendations include companies like Zijin Mining and Jiangxi Copper [31] Small Metals - Black tungsten concentrate prices rose to 429,000 RMB per ton, up 21.88% over two weeks and up 200.00% year-to-date [38] - LME tin prices increased to $42,975 per ton, up 6.97% over two weeks and up 51.00% year-to-date [38] - Recommendations include companies like Zhongtung High-tech and Xiamen Tungsten [38] Rare Earths - The China Rare Earth Price Index was reported at 209.37, down 1.82% over two weeks but up 27.84% year-to-date [49] - Light rare earths showed mixed results, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide down 1.54% over two weeks but up 42.61% year-to-date [49][50] - Recommendations include companies like China Rare Earth and Northern Rare Earth [50] Energy Metals - Electrolytic cobalt averaged 413,500 RMB per ton, unchanged over two weeks but up 189.16% year-to-date [58] - Lithium carbonate prices increased to 97,650 RMB per ton, up 4.72% over two weeks and up 30.03% year-to-date [61] - Recommendations include companies involved in lithium and cobalt production [61]