1-11 月工业企业利润点评：当出口链回暖遭遇利润率回落

Group 1: Profit Trends - In November, the profit growth rate of industrial enterprises fell to -13.1% year-on-year, marking the weakest level since September 2024[5] - Revenue growth for the same month showed a slight improvement, decreasing by only -0.3% year-on-year[5] - The decline in profit growth is primarily attributed to a significant drop in profit margins, despite a recovery in volume growth[6] Group 2: Export and Industry Performance - While profits in export-related industries showed improvement, they did not offset the overall decline in profits across sectors[6] - The mining industry experienced a profit decline of -21.2%, while the manufacturing sector's profit growth rate fell to -13.5%[6] - The recovery in exports, particularly in electronics, automotive, and pharmaceuticals, contributed to a 5.9% year-on-year increase in exports, boosting overall profits by 4.98 percentage points[6] Group 3: Inventory and Operational Pressure - By the end of November, the nominal year-on-year growth rate of finished goods inventory rose to 4.6%, indicating a passive accumulation of inventory due to weak demand[6] - The turnover days for finished goods increased to 20.5 days, reflecting worsening operational pressures on enterprises[6] - The overall business pressure is expected to continue accumulating, with potential implications for the employment market[6] Group 4: Future Outlook - There is a significant possibility that policy measures will be implemented in early 2026 to stimulate growth and stabilize profits amid weakening external demand[6] - The upcoming national development and reform meeting emphasizes the need for proactive policy measures to ensure a strong start in 2026[6]