a股2026年十大预测

Group 1: Market Predictions - A-shares are expected to continue an upward trend, with a new volatility center established in 2026[7] - The rotation between growth and value styles will be crucial for trading success in 2026[12] - In the first half of 2026, the technology growth style is anticipated to lead, with a broadening trend in growth stocks[17] Group 2: Sector and Investment Trends - AI-related products, such as AI glasses, may replicate the growth seen in TWS earphones post-2019[25] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" will drive investment in emerging industries, including quantum technology and hydrogen energy[28] - Commodity prices are expected to reach a mid-term peak in the second quarter of 2026[31] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is projected to cut interest rates 1-2 times in the first half of 2026, then halt cuts in the second half[39] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) negative range is expected to continue narrowing, indicating potential economic recovery[42] - Risks include slower-than-expected economic recovery and geopolitical events that could impact market stability[3]