关注需求托底及反内卷政策后续落地情况
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-12-28 08:09

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key stocks in the construction materials sector, including Yao Pi Glass, Yinlong Co., Puxin Co., Sanjike Tree, and Beixin Building Materials [9]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector saw a 3.64% increase from December 22 to December 26, 2025, with notable gains in glass fiber manufacturing (10.06%) and glass manufacturing (5.04%) [1][13]. - The report emphasizes the importance of demand stabilization and the implementation of anti-involution policies, particularly in the context of housing policy adjustments in Beijing [1]. - The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the cement market, with a focus on the need for macroeconomic improvements, especially in the housing sector, to stimulate demand [2][18]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of December 26, 2025, the national cement price index was 352.28 CNY/ton, a decrease of 0.26% from the previous week [2][18]. - The cement output for the week was 2.877 million tons, down 2.73% week-on-week, indicating a continued contraction in demand as temperatures drop and the Spring Festival approaches [2][18]. - The capacity utilization rate for cement clinker kilns was 37.42%, reflecting a decrease of 0.23 percentage points from the previous week [2][18]. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass as of December 25, 2025, was 1140.08 CNY/ton, with a weekly decline of 0.98% [3]. - Inventory levels for glass products increased, with a total of 55.33 million heavy boxes reported, up 38,000 boxes from the previous week [3]. Glass Fiber Industry Tracking - The market for non-alkali glass fiber remained stable, with average prices holding steady [7]. - Demand for glass fiber products has shown signs of weakness, with reduced purchasing intentions from downstream buyers [7]. Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is experiencing a weak recovery, with prices for upstream materials like aluminum alloy and acrylic remaining stable [7]. - The report suggests that consumer building materials will benefit from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies [1]. Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market price remained stable, with a weekly production of 2,392 tons and an operating rate of 79.47% [8]. - The industry continues to face challenges with profitability, as the average production cost was reported at 105,900 CNY/ton, leading to negative margins for many companies [8].

关注需求托底及反内卷政策后续落地情况 - Reportify