证券研究报告行业周报:回归业绩主线-20251228
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-12-28 11:18

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the communication sector, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication, indicating strong growth potential in the upcoming years [8]. Core Insights - The communication industry is expected to experience high growth, with many companies likely to release annual performance forecasts that exceed a 50% year-on-year increase in net profit, reflecting robust market demand and solid positions of leading companies [2][5][24]. - The report emphasizes the importance of returning to performance fundamentals as the year-end approaches, with January being a critical period for performance forecasts that will set the growth tone for the first half of the following year [1][18]. Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on performance fundamentals and highlights the importance of the upcoming earnings forecasts as a key observation window for investors [1][18]. - Recommended sectors include computing power, optical communication, and satellite communication, with specific companies identified for investment [5][12][25]. Market Review - The communication sector has shown an upward trend, with satellite communication navigation performing particularly well, leading the sector's growth [14][15]. - The report notes that the overall communication industry is in a high prosperity cycle, with many companies expected to report significant growth [24]. Performance Forecasting Methodology - Two methods for estimating annual net profit growth based on Q3 data are outlined: the first method involves calculating the ratio of cumulative net profit for the first three quarters to the previous year's total net profit, while the second method uses quarter-on-quarter growth trends to project Q4 profits [20][23]. - Companies showing strong performance in these analyses are likely to exceed the critical 50% growth threshold [24]. Key Companies to Watch - The report identifies several key companies for investment, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and others in the computing power and optical communication sectors [5][12][25]. - Specific recommendations include companies involved in liquid cooling and satellite communication, indicating a diversified approach to investment opportunities within the sector [5][12].