Guotou Securities·2025-12-28 12:31Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" for the construction industry, indicating an expected return that will outperform the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [6]. Core Insights - The 2026 fiscal policy is set to remain proactive, with a focus on increasing fiscal spending and optimizing government bond tools to enhance local financial capabilities. This is expected to support economic growth and improve the construction industry's operational conditions [18][11]. - Infrastructure investment has shown signs of recovery, with November data indicating a month-on-month improvement. The construction sector is anticipated to stabilize as policies aimed at debt reduction and "anti-involution" continue to be implemented [2][11]. - The demand for cleanroom construction is expected to rise due to increased capital expenditures in the semiconductor and cloud service sectors, driven by rapid advancements in AI technology [3][15]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The national fiscal work conference highlighted the achievements of 2025 and outlined the key tasks for 2026, emphasizing a more active fiscal policy to stimulate consumption and manage risks in key areas [18]. - The construction industry is expected to benefit from a combination of improved fiscal policies and a recovering investment environment, leading to marginal improvements in operational performance [2][11]. Market Performance - The construction industry saw a weekly increase of 2.26%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, with the decoration and renovation sector showing the highest growth at 11.37% [20][21]. - The overall industry valuation metrics indicate a TTM P/E ratio of 12.47 and a P/B ratio of 0.83, with several companies showing low valuations, suggesting potential investment opportunities [24][28]. Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include low-valuation state-owned enterprises such as China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway Construction, which are expected to benefit from improved cash flow and profitability [11][13]. - Cleanroom engineering leaders like Yaxin Integration and Shenghui Integration are highlighted for their potential growth due to increasing demand in the semiconductor sector [3][15].