财信证券宏观策略周报（12.29-1.2）：“春季躁动”行情开启，关注有色及科技-20251228

Group 1 - The report indicates that the market is likely entering a "spring rally" phase, with the overall market represented by the Wind All A Index breaking through moving averages and expected to reach new highs. This is supported by increased trading volume despite the suspension of northbound capital transactions [4][7][13] - The technology growth sector is identified as a long-term market focus, with a K-shaped economic recovery in China favoring technology growth performance. Opportunities are anticipated in previously lagging areas such as AI applications and humanoid robots [4][7][12] - The report highlights the ongoing expansion in the non-ferrous metals market, with prices for gold, silver, and copper reaching historical highs. This is attributed to a combination of factors including a loosening of dollar liquidity and supply-demand tightness [12][13] Group 2 - The report suggests that the domestic commercial aerospace industry is expected to develop rapidly, supported by new regulations that favor commercial rocket enterprises and the anticipated growth of the market, which is projected to exceed 2.5 trillion yuan [11][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the non-ferrous metals sector for investment opportunities, particularly in strategic minor metals and industrial metals, as the market is currently in an expansion phase [12][13] - The report notes that monetary policy remains moderately accommodative, which supports a slow bull market in A-shares, with expectations of continued liquidity support for technology growth sectors [8][9]