EBSCN·2025-12-28 13:02Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the petrochemical sector [4] Core Viewpoints - The 2025 CITIC Petrochemical Index recorded an annual increase of 15.1%, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices, with an excess return rate of -6.8% [8][11] - The "Big Three" oil companies demonstrated resilience during periods of oil price fluctuations, with their stock prices recovering in the second half of 2025 [13][21] - The refining and chemical fiber sector showed strong stock performance, with key companies benefiting from a recovery in demand and policy support [18][22] - The coal chemical industry is expected to improve profitability due to a downward trend in coal prices and accelerated industrial upgrades [23] Summary by Sections Petrochemical Sector - The CITIC Petrochemical Index's performance was significantly impacted by oil price expectations, with a notable decline in the first half of 2025 due to OPEC+ production increases [8][11] - The "Big Three" oil companies (China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC) achieved stable performance and cash flow despite challenges, with stock price changes of +16.3%, -9.8%, and +0.7% respectively [13][21] - The refining and chemical fiber sector saw strong stock price increases, with Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong rising by 43.6%, 22.9%, and 30.6% respectively [18][19] Coal Chemical Sector - The coal market has seen a gradual easing of supply and demand, with average prices for coking coal, thermal coal, and anthracite at 1700 RMB/ton, 677 RMB/ton, and 931 RMB/ton respectively, reflecting changes of +11.1%, -11.3%, and -10.5% year-to-date [23] - The modern coal chemical industry is expected to develop positively, driven by the need for green transformation and deep clean utilization of coal resources [23] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the "Big Three" oil companies and their subsidiaries in the oil service sector, as well as leading companies in the refining-chemical fiber and coal chemical industries [3][21]