SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-12-28 13:09Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The Hainan Free Trade Port officially launched its full island customs closure on December 18, 2025, implementing a policy of "one line open, one line controlled, and free flow within the island" to facilitate trade and investment [2][13] - The zero-tariff policy has been upgraded, increasing the number of zero-tariff product categories from 1,900 to 6,600, covering 74% of production materials [3][14] - The launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port is expected to significantly impact both local and national duty-free businesses, with the fundamentals beginning to materialize [15] Industry Data Tracking - GMV performance shows that in the second week of November, the overall GMV for Tmall and JD.com decreased by 5.56% year-on-year [4][16] - The top five categories in terms of growth during the same period were toys, home furnishings, books and audio-visual products, clothing, and home appliances [4][16] Market Review - From December 22 to December 26, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, CSI 300, Hang Seng Index, and Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.88%, 3.53%, 1.95%, 0.50%, and 0.37% respectively, with the retail trade sector rising by 0.16% [5][20] - Notable stock performances included Dongbai Group, Baida Group, China Duty Free, Yintai Group, and New Xunda, while Nanjing Shanglv, Central Mall, Dalian Friendship, Maoye Commercial, and Liren Liren experienced declines [5][20][27][28] Investment Recommendations - For offline retail, it is suggested to focus on Yonghui Supermarket, which is transforming its business model towards a curated retail approach, leveraging its strong fresh produce sales and scale advantages [28][29] - In the cross-border e-commerce sector, attention is drawn to leading brands like Anker Innovations and platforms like Xiaogongsi, which are expected to benefit from the Belt and Road Initiative [29] - In the gold and jewelry sector, companies like Laopuyin and Chaohongji are recommended due to their strong brand positioning and growth potential amid rising gold prices [29]