——汽车行业周报：吉利汽车与极氪整合完成,多地部署2026新国补-20251228

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the automotive industry [1] Core Insights - The automotive sector is expected to face a decline in passenger car year-on-year growth by the end of 2025 due to high base effects and the temporary withdrawal of some local trade-in subsidies. However, the high-end market is anticipated to perform relatively better in 2026, particularly for domestic brands with quality offerings priced above 300,000 yuan [4][14] - The integration of Geely Auto and Zeekr has been completed, marking a new phase for Geely, which aims to enhance collaboration across technology, products, supply chains, manufacturing, marketing, and international resources [6][12][29] - The central government has confirmed the continuation of the "National Subsidy" policy for 2026, with multiple cities already beginning to deploy new trade-in platforms [6][12][30] Summary by Sections Passenger Vehicles - By the end of 2025, the year-on-year growth rate for passenger vehicles may decline due to high base effects and the temporary exit of some trade-in subsidies. The high-end market is expected to see better performance in 2026, with recommendations for companies like JAC Motors, Geely, Xpeng, Great Wall Motors, SAIC Motor, Li Auto, Seres, and BYD [4][14][15] Auto Parts - High-level intelligence is penetrating lower-priced models, benefiting related auto parts. Recommended companies include Huayang Group, Desay SV, Kobot, and Jingwei Hirain. Companies with strong operational cycles such as Fuyao Glass, Yinlun, Bojun Technology, Wuxi Zhenhua, Songyuan Safety, and Xingyu are also recommended [4][15] Commercial Vehicles - The demand for heavy trucks is expected to recover in 2025, with recommendations for companies like Weichai Power, Foton Motor, and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group. The bus sector is also expected to see growth in both domestic and export markets, with Yutong Bus as a leading recommendation [4][15] Market Performance - From December 22 to December 26, 2025, the automotive sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with the automotive index rising by 2.7% compared to the index's 1.9% increase. The passenger vehicle segment saw a 3.3% increase, while commercial vehicles remained stable [6][16]