Changjiang Securities·2025-12-29 01:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong performance this week, with the introduction of fee reduction measures by the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges for 2026, leading to an increase in market trading activity and maintaining historical highs. It is expected that the performance in 2025 will continue to grow significantly, suggesting that investors should pay attention to the sector's future allocation value [2][4] - In the insurance sector, the third-quarter reports have confirmed the logic of deposit migration, increased equity allocation, and improved new policy costs. The certainty of ROE improvement has further increased, and valuations are expected to accelerate in recovery. The overall cost-effectiveness of allocation is gradually improving, indicating that the sector is undergoing a revaluation [2][4] - Recommendations include Jiangsu Jinzhong for stable profit growth and dividend rates, China Ping An for stable dividends and high dividend yield, and China Pacific Insurance for its strong business model and market position. Additionally, stocks such as New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Caifu, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings are recommended based on performance elasticity and valuation levels [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 2.1% this week, with an excess return of +0.1% relative to the CSI 300. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index has risen by 12.1%, with an excess return of -6.2% compared to the CSI 300 [5] - The average daily trading volume in the two markets reached 19,651.66 billion yuan, up 11.63% week-on-week, with a daily turnover rate of 1.99%, an increase of 16.24 basis points [5][41] Insurance Sector Insights - In November 2025, the cumulative insurance premium income reached 57,629 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.56%. Life insurance income was 41,472 billion yuan, up 9.06% year-on-year, while property insurance income was 16,157 billion yuan, up 3.88% [22][23] - The total assets of the insurance industry reached 40.65 trillion yuan in November 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 0.15% [26][27] Brokerage and Investment Business - The brokerage business has seen a recovery in trading activity, with the average daily trading volume exceeding the 2024 average. The industry is expected to gradually recover profitability in the brokerage business as commission rates stabilize [41] - In November 2025, equity financing reached 506.49 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 1.0%, while bond financing reached 7.06 trillion yuan, up 7.6% [52] - The asset management business saw a rebound in new issuance, with 43.97 billion units issued in November 2025, an increase of 4.4% month-on-month [54]