宝城期货股指期货早报（2025年12月29日）-20251229

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term view of the stock index is oscillating and strengthening, and the medium - term view is oscillating. The reference view is oscillating and strengthening. The policy - side favorable expectations and the trend of capital net inflow jointly form the medium - and long - term support for the stock index. With the approach of the previous high position of the stock index, pay attention to whether the stock index can break through the technical resistance of the previous high in the short term. Overall, the bullish factors continue to ferment, and the stock index is oscillating and strengthening in the short term [1][5] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2603, the short - term is oscillating, the medium - term is oscillating, the intraday is strengthening, and the reference view is oscillating and strengthening. The core logic is that the policy - side favorable expectations and the trend of capital net inflow remain unchanged [1] Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IF, IH, IC, IM, the intraday view is strengthening, the medium - term view is oscillating, and the reference view is oscillating and strengthening. The core logic is that last Friday, each stock index oscillated and rose. The total market turnover of the stock market was 2160.3 billion yuan, an increase of 216.5 billion yuan compared with the previous day. The recent trading volume of the stock market has gradually increased, and the stock index has risen continuously, indicating that the market risk appetite continues to recover. As the new year approaches, the policy - side favorable expectations gradually ferment. Coupled with the appreciation of the RMB, a large number of relatively high - interest time deposits will mature next year, and their "re - allocation" may bring a large amount of incremental capital inflow to the stock market. The policy - side favorable expectations and the trend of capital net inflow jointly form the medium - and long - term support for the stock index [5]