CMS·2025-12-29 05:01Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the industry [2] Core Insights - The environmental and public utility sectors have seen an increase, with the environmental industry index rising by 1.92% and the public utility index by 0.83%, which is relatively lower than the overall market increase [6] - The total transaction volume for electricity in Guangdong for 2026 is 359.44 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, with an average transaction price of 372.14 cents/kWh, down 5.0% year-on-year [6] - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the power sector, particularly recommending Guodian Power and Huaneng International for their strong dividends and performance safety [6] Summary by Sections Key Event Analysis - In November, the growth rate of total electricity consumption slowed, with a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, down 4.2 percentage points from October [10] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued guidelines to promote the large-scale development of solar thermal power [20] Market Review - The environmental and public utility sectors have shown positive performance, with the environmental sector leading with an 18.58% increase since the beginning of 2025 [22] - The power sector has seen a cumulative increase of 2.71% in the same period [22] Key Data Tracking - The price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal has decreased to 685 RMB/ton, down 4.86% from December 19, 2025, and down 11.0% year-on-year [36] - The average electricity price in Guangdong reached a peak of 346.72 RMB/MWh on December 24, 2025, an increase of 10.9% week-on-week [52] - The LNG import price has risen to 9.62 RMB/million BTU, up 1.02% from December 19, 2025, while the domestic LNG ex-factory price has decreased to 3915 RMB/ton [50] Industry Key Events - The report highlights several key events in the electricity market, including the construction of charging infrastructure for electric heavy trucks in Chongqing and the implementation of green electricity direct connection projects in Ningxia [63][64]