Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for JD Industrial (07618) as a first-time coverage [1]. Core Insights - JD Industrial is a leading provider of industrial supply chain technology and services in China, having established a comprehensive digital infrastructure for end-to-end supply chain solutions. By 2024, it is projected to become the largest player in the MRO procurement market in China, serving over 11,100 key enterprise clients and offering approximately 81.1 million SKUs from around 158,000 suppliers [5][18]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of CNY 20.4 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.4% from 2021 to 2024. The adjusted net profit is forecasted to reach CNY 909 million, with a CAGR of 21.9% during the same period [4][25]. - The Chinese industrial supply chain market is the largest globally, with a market size of CNY 11.4 trillion in 2024, but the digital penetration is only 6.2%, significantly lower than the 15% in the U.S. [5][50]. - JD Industrial's market share in the domestic industrial supply chain technology and services market is 4.1%, while its share in the MRO procurement market is only 0.8%, indicating substantial growth potential [5][59]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue and profit forecasts for JD Industrial from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - Revenue: CNY 17.34 billion (2023), CNY 20.40 billion (2024), CNY 24.49 billion (2025E), CNY 29.91 billion (2026E), CNY 35.96 billion (2027E) [4]. - Adjusted net profit: CNY 818 million (2023), CNY 909 million (2024), CNY 1.10 billion (2025E), CNY 1.74 billion (2026E), CNY 2.30 billion (2027E) [4]. - The expected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are 41 (2023), 36 (2024), 30 (2025E), 19 (2026E), and 14 (2027E) [4]. Industry Overview - The industrial supply chain market in China is characterized by its vast size and the early stage of digital transformation. The MRO procurement market is projected to reach CNY 3.7 trillion in 2024, with a CAGR of 6.1% from 2019 to 2024 [5][55]. - The market is highly fragmented, with JD Industrial being a key player. The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing digitalization trends, which are expected to accelerate market consolidation [5][58]. - The report highlights that the U.S. leading MRO companies have consistently outperformed the growth of the manufacturing value added, indicating a potential for similar trends in China as the market matures [5][8].
京东工业（07618）：国内领先工业供应链服务提供商，数智化基础设施打造长期竞争优势