Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-12-29 09:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive industry, particularly focusing on the mid-to-high-end and used car markets, with specific recommendations for companies like BYD and Geely [1]. Core Insights - The upcoming subsidies are expected to alleviate previous concerns regarding the total market volume for 2026, enhancing demand for mid-to-low-end vehicles [1]. - The report highlights the potential for significant performance improvements in parts manufacturers due to subsidy support, recommending companies with strong fundamentals and low valuations [1]. - The report emphasizes the advantages of new energy vehicle companies like Xpeng, NIO, and Li Auto, as well as key Tier 1 suppliers such as Desay SV and Jingwei Hirain [1]. - The report notes a positive trend in the used car market, benefiting from the industry's recovery and improved profitability for dealers, recommending companies like Uxin [1]. Industry Update - According to the China Passenger Car Association, the average daily retail sales of passenger cars in the third week of December reached 77,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 11% but a month-on-month increase of 9% [1]. - The automotive industry recorded a total transaction value of 582.81 billion yuan, with the automotive index rising by 2.74% during the week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [1][4]. - The report indicates that 172 automotive stocks rose while 94 fell, with the largest gainers being Chaojie Co., Longi Machinery, and Zhejiang Sebao, which saw increases of 41.6%, 33.7%, and 33.3% respectively [1][9]. Market Conditions - The report highlights a rise in traditional and new energy raw material price indices, with traditional vehicle raw material prices increasing by 1.3% and 1.0% over the past week and month, respectively, while new energy vehicle raw material prices rose by 5.6% and 6.8% [1][54]. - The automotive industry’s price-to-earnings ratio stands at 29.17, ranking 19th among all primary industries, indicating a moderate valuation compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 14.15 [6]. Key Events - The report discusses the optimization of toll road policies and the improvement of autonomous driving regulations, which are expected to enhance the operational efficiency of the transportation system [2][3]. - The report notes significant developments in the automotive sector, including the launch of new models and strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing market competitiveness [17][18][19].