汽车行业周报：“十五五”汽车持重，智能豪华定义新方向-20251229

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry [6] Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing a decline in sales due to tightening subsidies, but the annual cumulative sales remain within a reasonable range. Retail sales of passenger cars from December 1-21 reached 1.3 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 19%, but a month-on-month increase of 5%. Cumulative retail sales for the year stand at 22.783 million units, a year-on-year increase of 4% [2][20] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the passenger car market reached 60.6% during the same period, with cumulative retail sales of 12.26 million units for the year, reflecting an 18% year-on-year growth [2][20] - Regional "14th Five-Year" plans emphasize the importance of the automotive industry, particularly in promoting smart and connected vehicles, with significant investments expected in key areas like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen [3][30][31] - Leading automotive companies are focusing on smart vehicle strategies, with domestic luxury car brands beginning to define their identities in the market [4][36] Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The automotive sector saw a 2.74% increase in the week of December 20-26, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 0.79 percentage points [13] - The automotive parts sector had the highest increase at 4.25%, while the passenger car sector saw a 3.39% rise [15] Data Tracking - Retail and wholesale sales data for passenger cars indicate a mixed performance, with retail sales declining year-on-year but showing month-on-month growth [20] - New energy vehicle sales also reflect a similar trend, with a year-on-year increase in retail sales but a decline in wholesale figures [20] Industry News - The report highlights significant developments in the automotive industry, including organizational changes at Li Auto and the launch of new smart vehicle models by various manufacturers [25][36] - The implementation of the "Shenzhen-Hong Kong Automotive Fast Pass Plan" aims to streamline the export process for new energy vehicles, significantly reducing time and costs [29] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the definitions of the automotive industry in various regional "14th Five-Year" plans and the upward trend in autonomous luxury vehicles [5]