汽车行业周报：反内卷+国补预计延续，看好2026年车市向好-20251229

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry [2][4]. Core Viewpoints - The automotive market is expected to improve in 2026 due to the continuation of the "trade-in" subsidy and measures against excessive competition [4][15]. - The central economic work conference in 2025 emphasized the optimization of the "two new" policies, which include large-scale equipment updates and trade-in subsidies [4][15]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has highlighted the importance of regulating competition in the automotive market, particularly for new energy vehicles and related industries [4][15]. Industry Dynamics - Industry News: Beijing has issued the first L3 level special license plates for autonomous driving vehicles, marking a significant milestone in the automotive industry's shift towards intelligent vehicles [16][18]. - New Models: New models launched include Great Wall Motors' Wei brand Blue Mountain and Dongfeng's Fengxing Lightning [30][31]. Market Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.79 percentage points, with a sector increase of 2.74% from December 22 to December 26, 2025 [4][33]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the automotive sector is 29.2 times, reflecting an increase from the previous week [39]. Data Tracking - Monthly Data: In November 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 2.2254 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 8.11% [40][54]. - Weekly Data: From December 15 to 21, 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles totaled 536,000 units, a year-on-year decline of 11% [109]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong new product cycles such as Great Wall Motors, Seres, SAIC Motor, and XPeng Motors [4][5]. - It also recommends companies involved in supply chains and advanced technologies like Longsheng Technology and Junsheng Electronics [4][5].