电力设备及新能源行业之光伏电池设备专题报告：暗线潜影织金络，晶硅叠层启玄机

Group 1 - The photovoltaic industry is expected to enter a new development cycle, with China's new installed capacity reaching 277.2 GW in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 27.8%, and a cumulative installed capacity of 886.7 GW by the end of 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 39.8% from 2015 to 2024 [18][19] - The penetration rate of photovoltaic power generation in China has increased from 0.4% in 2014 to 9.8% in 2024, surpassing the global average, indicating significant growth potential in the future [20][24] - The industry is currently facing "involution" competition, leading to a supply-demand imbalance and widespread losses among companies, necessitating a shift from price competition to value competition driven by technological innovation [3][28] Group 2 - Capital expenditure in the photovoltaic industry is significantly decreasing, with a 46.4% year-on-year decline in 2025, indicating a strategic shift towards focusing on advanced technologies rather than blind expansion [47][48] - The BC technology penetration rate is rapidly increasing, with market share expected to rise to 5.0% in 2024, up 4.1 percentage points from 2023, providing a differentiated and high-margin breakthrough for photovoltaic companies [67][68] - The efficiency of perovskite solar cells has reached new heights, with the potential for further industrialization and cost reduction, making them a strategic focus for the future [9][34] Group 3 - The central economic work conference has emphasized the need to deeply rectify "involution" competition, which is particularly prevalent in the photovoltaic industry, aiming to enhance quality and efficiency rather than scale [32][33] - The market is witnessing a structural adjustment, with leading companies focusing on building long-term competitive advantages through investments in next-generation technologies, such as BC and perovskite cells [48][64] - The recent procurement adjustments by China Huaneng Group for high-efficiency components, increasing the share of components with conversion efficiency of 23.8% and above to 58.3%, signal a shift towards high-quality development in the industry [71]