East Money Securities·2025-12-29 11:16Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the utility sector [3]. Core Viewpoints - The acceleration of solar thermal power construction, supported by scale enhancement and policy backing, is expected to secure returns [19]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued guidelines to promote the large-scale development of solar thermal power, aiming for a total installed capacity of approximately 15 million kilowatts by 2030, with investment expected to reach around 170 billion yuan [19][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview - From December 22 to December 26, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.88%, the ChiNext Index increased by 3.9%, the utility index gained 0.83%, and the environmental index rose by 1.92% [27]. - In the utility sector, the thermal power segment increased by 2.45%, while the hydropower segment decreased by 0.77% [29]. 2. Utility Sector Dynamics 2.1. Electricity Tracking - In November 2025, the average transaction price in Jiangsu's centralized bidding was 355.95 yuan/MWh, up 4.45% month-on-month but down 13.60% year-on-year [39]. - The total electricity generation in November 2025 was approximately 779.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.96% but a month-on-month decrease of 2.62% [42]. 2.2. Water Conditions - As of December 26, the water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 170.95 meters, which is normal compared to 167.82 meters in the same period last year [55]. 2.3. Coal Price and Inventory Tracking - The CCI index for thermal coal was reported at 693 yuan/ton as of December 24, 2025, a decrease of 39 yuan/ton from December 17 [59]. - The inventory of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port was 7.02 million tons as of December 25, 2025, down by 110,000 tons from December 18 [65]. 2.4. Natural Gas Price Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in China was reported at 3937 yuan/ton as of December 25, 2025, a decrease of 3.39% from December 17 [70]. 3. Configuration Suggestions - Short-term recommendations include focusing on environmentally friendly public utility sectors that cater to residential demand, such as heating services and waste-to-energy projects [14]. - Long-term suggestions emphasize the importance of stable performance and attractive dividend yields in the current low-interest-rate environment, particularly for quality hydropower companies [14].