Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report Group 2: Core Viewpoints - On December 29, all four major stock index futures contracts for the current month declined. IF dropped by 0.5%, IH by 0.41%, IC by 0.46%, and IM by 0.32% [1] - On this trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures decreased, indicating a cooling of investors' trading enthusiasm. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF decreased by 22,687 lots, IH by 11,586 lots, IC by 36,757 lots, and IM by 53,242 lots. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF decreased by 12,050 lots, IH by 5,602 lots, IC by 17,385 lots, and IM by 19,963 lots [2] - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1 [6] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - CSI 300 and Related Futures: The closing price of CSI 300 is 4,639.4, down 0.38%. The closing prices of IF2601, IF2602, IF2603, and IF2606 are 4,630.8, 4,620.8, 4,610.2, and 4,567.4 respectively, with declines of 0.50%, 0.43%, 0.56%, and 0.47%. Their trading volumes decreased by 6,620, 289, 12,369, and 3,409 respectively, and their positions decreased by 3,726, increased by 261, decreased by 8,066, and decreased by 519 respectively [1] - SSE 50 and Related Futures: The closing price of SSE 50 is 3,034.6, down 0.35%. The closing prices of IH2601, IH2602, IH2603, and IH2606 are 3,036, 3,036.8, 3,038, and 3,033.2 respectively, with declines of 0.41%, 0.36%, 0.48%, and 0.39%. Their trading volumes decreased by 2,169, 66, 7,117, and 2,234 respectively, and their positions decreased by 2,404, decreased by 110, decreased by 2,558, and decreased by 530 respectively [1] - CSI 500 and Related Futures: The closing price of CSI 500 is 7,430.6, down 0.38%. The closing prices of IC2601, IC2602, IC2603, and IC2606 are 7,421.6, 7,379, 7,336.6, and 7,157.6 respectively, with declines of 0.46%, 0.51%, 0.67%, and 0.76%. Their trading volumes decreased by 10,673, increased by 763, decreased by 20,731, and decreased by 6,116 respectively, and their positions decreased by 6,224, increased by 1,008, decreased by 10,791, and decreased by 1,378 respectively [1] - CSI 1000 and Related Futures: The closing price of CSI 1000 is 7,594.2, down 0.15%. The closing prices of IM2601, IM2602, IM2603, and IM2606 are 7,572.2, 7,500.2, 7,439, and 7,206 respectively, with declines of 0.32%, 0.48%, 0.51%, and 0.59%. Their trading volumes decreased by 15,720, increased by 639, decreased by 29,817, and decreased by 8,344 respectively, and their positions decreased by 7,157, increased by 4,723, decreased by 12,285, and decreased by 975 respectively [1] 2. Top 20 Member Positions in Stock Index Futures - For IF2601, long positions decreased by 2,419, and short positions decreased by 2,639. For IF2602, long positions decreased by 9,611. For IF2603, long positions decreased by 6,158, and short positions decreased by 6,771. For IF2606, long positions decreased by 1,034, and short positions decreased by 742 [5] - For IH2601, long positions decreased by 1,714 with a net change of -4,414, and short positions decreased by 1,956 with a net change of -4,742. For IH2603, long positions decreased by 2,168, and short positions decreased by 2,270. For IH2606, long positions decreased by 532, and short positions decreased by 516 [5] - For IC2601, long positions decreased by 4,226, and short positions decreased by 5,047. For IC2603, long positions decreased by 7,318 with a net change of -13,116, and short positions decreased by 8,625 with a net change of -14,790. For IC2606, long positions decreased by 1,572 [5] - For IM2601, long positions decreased by 5,380 with a net change of -13,183, and short positions decreased by 6,072. For IM2602, long positions increased by 83, and short positions increased by 747 with a net change of -15,394. For IM2603, long positions decreased by 7,886, and short positions decreased by 10,069 [5] 3. Market Conditions - Precious Metals Market: On Monday, the spot silver price in the Asian market hit a record high of over $80 per ounce and approached $84, with a nearly 6% increase. However, the market then reversed sharply, and in the New York market, it dropped by over 11%. The decline in silver also dragged down other precious metals, with spot palladium dropping by 17%, spot platinum by 15%, and spot gold by over 5%. In the domestic market, platinum and palladium hit the daily limit down, and the Shanghai silver futures price dropped at the end of the session, erasing all the 10% intraday gains and further dropping by 8.74% at night. The Shanghai gold futures price closed down nearly 1% and further dropped by 4% at night. COMEX gold futures closed down 4.45% at $4,350.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures closed down 7.2% at $71.64 per ounce [6] - A - Share Market: The A - share market showed a divergence between large and small - cap indices. The Shanghai Composite Index recorded nine consecutive positive days, while the ChiNext Index declined. The commercial aerospace and humanoid robot sectors performed well. The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.04% at 3,965.28 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.49%, the ChiNext Index down 0.66%, the Northbound 50 down 0.45%, the STAR 50 up 0.04%, the Wind All - A down 0.29%, the Wind A500 down 0.46%, and the CSI A500 down 0.48%. The total A - share trading volume was 2.16 trillion yuan, compared with 2.18 trillion yuan the previous day. The carbon fiber concept rose as Toray Industries announced a price increase for carbon fiber products. The brain - computer interface concept was active, the commercial aerospace concept remained strong, the humanoid robot concept continued to heat up, and the stablecoin index rose in the afternoon. The lithium - battery industrial chain adjusted significantly, and the Hainan Free Trade Zone concept declined [6] - Hong Kong Stock Market: The Hong Kong stock market rose first and then fell. The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.71% at 25,635.23 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.30% at 5,483.01 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down 0.26% at 8,891.71 points. The market trading volume was HK$224.508 billion. Among the Hang Seng Index constituents, JD Health fell 3.42%, Cheung Kong Holdings fell 3.35%, BYD Co., Ltd. rose 3.74%, and Geely Automobile rose 3.43%. Among the Hang Seng Tech Index constituents, Horizon Robotics - W fell 3.20%, Midea Group fell 3.05%, NIO - SW rose 4.89%, and XPeng Motors - W rose 3.88% [7] - US Stock Market: The three major US stock indices closed down. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.51% to 48,461.93 points, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.35% to 6,905.74 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.5% to 23,474.35 points. Goldman Sachs Group and American Express fell by over 1%, leading the decline in the Dow. Profit - taking put pressure on AI - related stocks. The Wind US Tech Giants Index fell 0.6%, Tesla fell by over 3%, and NVIDIA fell by over 1%. Most Chinese concept stocks declined, with Dingdong Maicai falling by over 7% and Hecla Mining falling by nearly 7% [7] 4. Automobile Market - Cui Dongshu, the secretary - general of the Passenger Car Association, said that the growth of the auto market in 2026 is complex. The most important factor at the beginning of the year is the late Spring Festival, and this year, combined with the early implementation of national subsidies, the effect will be significant. It should achieve positive growth in January, but there will be more pressure in February [8]
期指：风偏受挫，震荡整固
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-12-30 01:47