金融期权策略早报-20251230
Wu Kuang Qi Huo·2025-12-30 02:45

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The stock market, including the Shanghai Composite Index, large-cap blue-chip stocks, small and medium-cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks, shows a high-level oscillating upward trend [3]. - The implied volatility of financial options has declined to a level below the historical average [3]. - For ETF options, it is suitable to construct a bullish seller strategy and a bull spread combination strategy for call options. For index options, it is suitable to construct a bullish seller strategy, a bull spread combination strategy for call options, and an arbitrage strategy between synthetic long futures with options and short futures [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Financial Market Index Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,965.28, up 1.60 points or 0.04%, with a trading volume of 903.8 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13,537.10, down 66.80 points or 0.49%, with a trading volume of 1,235.5 billion yuan [4]. - The SSE 50 Index closed at 3,034.63, down 10.77 points or 0.35%, with a trading volume of 117.1 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4,639.37, down 17.87 points or 0.38%, with a trading volume of 482.6 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 500 Index closed at 7,430.61, down 28.22 points or 0.38%, with a trading volume of 390.4 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 1000 Index closed at 7,594.16, down 11.37 points or 0.15%, with a trading volume of 466.9 billion yuan [4]. ETF Market Overview - The SSE 50 ETF closed at 3.109, down 0.011 or 0.35%, with a trading volume of 4.8702 million shares and a turnover of 1.519 billion yuan [5]. - The SSE 300 ETF closed at 4.763, down 0.021 or 0.44%, with a trading volume of 8.5291 million shares and a turnover of 4.070 billion yuan [5]. - The SSE 500 ETF closed at 7.548, down 0.032 or 0.42%, with a trading volume of 3.3780 million shares and a turnover of 2.559 billion yuan [5]. - The Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.417, down 0.002 or 0.14%, with a trading volume of 25.7752 million shares and a turnover of 3.675 billion yuan [5]. - The E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.373, down 0.001 or 0.07%, with a trading volume of 6.8515 million shares and a turnover of 0.946 billion yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 300 ETF closed at 4.838, down 0.022 or 0.45%, with a trading volume of 2.2579 million shares and a turnover of 1.095 billion yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 500 ETF closed at 2.979, down 0.012 or 0.40%, with a trading volume of 1.0772 million shares and a turnover of 0.322 billion yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 100 ETF closed at 3.470, down 0.015 or 0.43%, with a trading volume of 0.7215 million shares and a turnover of 0.251 billion yuan [5]. - The ChiNext ETF closed at 3.205, down 0.021 or 0.65%, with a trading volume of 9.5207 million shares and a turnover of 3.056 billion yuan [5]. Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - For the SSE 50 ETF option, the volume PCR was 0.96, up 0.08, and the open interest PCR was 0.94, down 0.04 [6]. - For the SSE 300 ETF option, the volume PCR was 0.89, up 0.22, and the open interest PCR was 0.92, down 0.04 [6]. - For the SSE 500 ETF option, the volume PCR was 0.83, down 0.01, and the open interest PCR was 1.05, down 0.03 [6]. - For the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the volume PCR was 0.56, up 0.02, and the open interest PCR was 0.79, down 0.02 [6]. - For the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the volume PCR was 0.75, up 0.26, and the open interest PCR was 0.88, down 0.02 [6]. - For the Shenzhen 300 ETF option, the volume PCR was 0.92, up 0.21, and the open interest PCR was 0.96, down 0.01 [6]. - For the Shenzhen 500 ETF option, the volume PCR was 1.04, up 0.25, and the open interest PCR was 1.07, up 0.03 [6]. - For the Shenzhen 100 ETF option, the volume PCR was 2.34, up 0.91, and the open interest PCR was 1.55, up 0.19 [6]. - For the ChiNext ETF option, the volume PCR was 0.86, up 0.05, and the open interest PCR was 1.07, down 0.05 [6]. - For the SSE 50 index option, the volume PCR was 0.52, up 0.08, and the open interest PCR was 0.69, unchanged [6]. - For the CSI 300 index option, the volume PCR was 0.54, up 0.03, and the open interest PCR was 0.71, unchanged [6]. - For the CSI 1000 index option, the volume PCR was 0.66, up 0.02, and the open interest PCR was 0.98, unchanged [6]. Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - For the SSE 50 ETF option, the pressure level was 3.20, and the support level was 3.00 [8]. - For the SSE 300 ETF option, the pressure level was 4.80, and the support level was 4.70 [8]. - For the SSE 500 ETF option, the pressure level was 7.50, and the support level was 7.25 [8]. - For the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the pressure level was 1.45, and the support level was 1.40 [8]. - For the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the pressure level was 1.50, and the support level was 1.30 [8]. - For the Shenzhen 300 ETF option, the pressure level was 4.90, and the support level was 4.80 [8]. - For the Shenzhen 500 ETF option, the pressure level was 3.00, and the support level was 2.90 [8]. - For the Shenzhen 100 ETF option, the pressure level was 3.50, and the support level was 3.40 [8]. - For the ChiNext ETF option, the pressure level was 3.20, and the support level was 3.10 [8]. - For the SSE 50 index option, the pressure level was 3,100, and the support level was 3,000 [8]. - For the CSI 300 index option, the pressure level was 4,700, and the support level was 4,600 [8]. - For the CSI 1000 index option, the pressure level was 7,600, and the support level was 7,300 [8]. Option Factor - Implied Volatility - For the SSE 50 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 13.35%, the weighted implied volatility was 13.36%, down 0.27% [11]. - For the SSE 300 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 15.43%, the weighted implied volatility was 15.05%, down 0.12% [11]. - For the SSE 500 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 19.30%, the weighted implied volatility was 19.51%, up 0.15% [11]. - For the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 27.51%, the weighted implied volatility was 27.14%, up 0.88% [11]. - For the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 27.37%, the weighted implied volatility was 28.03%, up 0.48% [11]. - For the Shenzhen 300 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 15.51%, the weighted implied volatility was 18.62%, up 1.73% [11]. - For the Shenzhen 500 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 19.41%, the weighted implied volatility was 19.95%, up 0.77% [11]. - For the Shenzhen 100 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 19.83%, the weighted implied volatility was 21.21%, down 0.11% [11]. - For the ChiNext ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 26.80%, the weighted implied volatility was 26.69%, up 0.40% [11]. - For the SSE 50 index option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 13.69%, the weighted implied volatility was 14.20%, down 0.36% [11]. - For the CSI 300 index option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 15.88%, the weighted implied volatility was 15.57%, down 0.04% [11]. - For the CSI 1000 index option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 20.07%, the weighted implied volatility was 20.23%, up 0.57% [11]. Strategy and Recommendations - Financial Stocks Sector (SSE 50 ETF): - The SSE 50 ETF showed a high-level oscillating and consolidating trend. - The implied volatility of the SSE 50 ETF option remained at a relatively low level. - The open interest PCR of the SSE 50 ETF option was around 1.00, indicating oscillation. - The pressure level was 3.20, and the support level was 3.00. - Strategies: Construct a neutral seller combination strategy; implement a covered call strategy by holding the SSE 50 ETF and selling call options [14]. - Large-Cap Blue-Chip Stocks Sector (SSE 300 ETF): - The SSE 300 ETF showed a rebound after a decline. - The implied volatility of the SSE 300 ETF option remained at a relatively low level. - The open interest PCR of the SSE 300 ETF option was around 1.00, indicating a weak oscillation. - The pressure level was 4.80, and the support level was 4.70. - Strategies: Construct a short volatility strategy by selling call and put options; implement a covered call strategy by holding the SSE 300 ETF and selling call options [14]. - Small and Medium-Cap Stocks Sector (SSE 500 ETF): - The SSE 500 ETF showed a rebound and then a decline. - The implied volatility of the SSE 500 ETF option remained below the historical average. - The open interest PCR of the SSE 500 ETF option was above 1.00, indicating an oscillating trend. - The pressure level was 7.50, and the support level was 7.00. - Strategies: Construct a short volatility strategy by selling call and put options; implement a covered call strategy by holding the SSE 500 ETF and selling call options [15]. - Large and Medium-Sized Stocks Sector (Shenzhen 100 ETF): - The Shenzhen 100 ETF showed a bullish high-level oscillation and then a decline. - The implied volatility of the Shenzhen 100 ETF option fluctuated around the average level. - The open interest PCR of the Shenzhen 100 ETF option was above 1.00, indicating a bullish oscillating and declining trend. - The pressure level was 3.40, and the support level was 3.30. - Strategies: Construct a short volatility strategy by selling call and put options; implement a covered call strategy by holding the Shenzhen 100 ETF and selling call options [15]. - ChiNext Sector (ChiNext ETF): - The ChiNext ETF showed a bullish high-level oscillation. - The implied volatility of the ChiNext ETF option remained at a relatively high level. - The open interest PCR of the ChiNext ETF option was above 1.00, indicating a strengthening trend. - The pressure level was 3.20, and the support level was 3.00. - Strategies: Construct a short volatility strategy; implement a covered call strategy by holding the ChiNext ETF and selling call options [16]. - Small and Medium-Cap Stocks Sector (CSI 1000): - The CSI 1000 index showed a high-level decline and then an oscillation. - The implied volatility of the CSI 1000 index option fluctuated below the average level. - The open interest PCR of the CSI 1000 index option was around 0.90, indicating a weak oscillating trend. - The pressure level was 7,400, and the support level was 7,000. - Strategies: Construct a short volatility strategy by selling call and put options and dynamically adjust the position to keep the delta negative [16].