资讯早间报-20251230

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report comprehensively presents the overnight performance of the global financial and commodity markets, along with significant macro - economic and corporate news. It shows that geopolitical factors are affecting the energy market, and various industries such as metals, black - series, and agriculture are experiencing different trends due to factors like policy, production, and market demand. The financial market also shows a complex situation with the divergence of stock indices and fluctuations in different asset classes. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Night - Market Market Trends - The US crude oil main contract rose 1.92% to $57.83 per barrel, and Brent crude oil main contract rose 1.66% to $61.24 per barrel. Geopolitical issues and production decline in Kazakhstan drove up oil prices [5][43]. - Most London base metals declined, with LME lead and copper rising slightly, and LME tin falling 6.55% to $40010 per ton [5][43]. - Spot silver first broke through the $80 per ounce mark but then plunged, dragging down other precious metals. COMEX gold futures fell 4.45% to $4350.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 7.2% to $71.64 per ounce [6][7]. - Domestic futures main contracts showed mixed performance, with some like asphalt rising and others like pulp falling [7]. Important News Macroeconomic News - The National Development and Reform Commission proposed to develop new - quality productivity in a coordinated manner [9]. - Trump said the US military's strike on a Venezuelan factory reduced drug trading by 97% [9]. - The Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (European route) rose 9.7% [10]. - Russia set the withdrawal of Ukrainian armed forces from the Donbass as a pre - condition for a truce [10]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation deployed key tasks for 2026, including anti - monopoly measures [11][12]. Energy and Chemical Futures - The start - up rate of China's LOW - E glass sample enterprises increased [14]. - A subsidiary of Boyuan Chemical decided to shut down due to continuous losses [14]. - The expected arrival of New Zealand coniferous logs at 13 Chinese ports increased significantly [14]. - Guyana's oil production in November rose to about 894,000 barrels per day [15]. Metal Futures - Yunnan Province plans to strengthen resource - based industries [17]. - Longpan Technology will conduct production line maintenance, reducing lithium iron phosphate output [19]. - The price of high - quality and battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased [19]. - UBS raised its gold price target for the first three quarters of 2026 [19]. - Environmental controls in some areas affected the aluminum market [19]. - Zinc mines in different regions had production changes [20]. - Chuanfa Longmang's projects were put into production or in trial production [20]. Black - Series Futures - Global iron ore shipments increased, while China's 47 - port and 45 - port arrivals decreased [22][24]. - Hebei steel mills lowered coke prices, starting the fourth round of price cuts [24]. - Tiansteel will conduct blast furnace maintenance [25]. Agricultural Product Futures - India's domestic sugar quota for January 2026 was set at 2.2 million tons, and the market is expected to be stable [27]. - China's domestic oil mills' soybean crushing volume remained high in December [27]. - The commercial inventory of soybean oil decreased, while that of palm oil increased [27]. - US soybean export data showed changes, and Brazil's soybean sowing rate was 97.9% [27][30]. Financial Market Finance - A - share indices were divergent, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.04%, and the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index falling [32]. - Hong Kong stocks fell, with large - cap tech stocks generally declining [32]. - China's public - offering fund scale exceeded 37 trillion yuan in November [32]. - GSM, an electric mobility service provider in Vietnam, plans to list in Hong Kong [34]. Industry - The National Energy Administration emphasized the construction of charging infrastructure [35]. - The 2026 auto market growth is complex, with a possible January increase [35]. - Shenzhen proposed to adjust real - estate investment [35]. - Hong Kong's private housing prices rose in November [35]. - The price of imported GLP - 1 diet pills was halved [36]. - AI Agent is expected to be popularized in 2026 [36]. - The global memory industry's "super - cycle" is expected to last until 2027 [36]. Overseas - Trump criticized the Fed and considered suing Powell [38]. - Trump met with Zelensky, but no major announcements were made [38]. - The US government investigated large companies' DEI projects [38]. - US pending home sales rose in November [38]. - The Bank of Japan hinted at future interest - rate hikes [38]. - Most German business associations expect to lay off employees in 2026 [39]. - The ACCA will end online exams in March 2026 [39]. International Stock Markets - US stock indices fell, with AI - related stocks under pressure [40]. - European stock indices were mixed, with the German DAX and French CAC40 rising slightly, and the UK FTSE 100 falling slightly [42]. - Wall Street is optimistic about US stocks in 2026 [42]. - Intel bought back over 214.7 million shares worth $5 billion [42]. Commodities - Crude oil prices rose due to geopolitical factors [43]. - Most London base metals declined [43]. Bonds - China's bond market weakened, and long - term bonds were under pressure [44]. - The yield of treasury bond reverse repurchase in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges rose [44]. - The US federal debt exceeded $38.5 trillion, and the buyer structure changed [46]. - US bond yields fell [46]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar fell slightly, and the central parity rate rose [47]. - The US dollar index fell slightly, and non - US currencies showed mixed performance [47].