长芯博创(300548):动态报告:谷歌算力扩容核心受益,数通业务未来可期

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [3][55]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a rare comprehensive provider of optical interconnection solutions, benefiting significantly from its long-term stable partnership with Google in the MPO field and its strategic layout in active products like optical modules and AOC [3][55]. - The company's revenue is expected to grow rapidly, with projected revenues of 34.52 billion, 69.92 billion, and 120.22 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of 3.72 billion, 10.94 billion, and 19.05 billion yuan for the same years [3][55]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company started with PLC optical splitters and has gradually built a complete optical interconnection system solution, targeting telecommunications, data centers, and industrial interconnection fields [13]. - Its product range includes PLC optical splitters, PON optical transceivers, DWDM, AWG, VMUX for telecommunications, and AOC and copper cable products for data centers, covering speeds from 10G to 800G [13]. Market Opportunities - Google is a key beneficiary of the company's offerings, with a strong emphasis on AI commercialization and the urgent need for capacity expansion, aiming to double its computing power every six months [2][37]. - The company has established a long-term stable supply relationship with Google in the MPO field, which is crucial for high-density optical connections [2][43]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.675 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected increase to 3.452 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 97.54% [6][55]. - The net profit for 2023 was 81 million yuan, expected to rise to 372 million yuan in 2025, indicating a significant growth trajectory [6][55]. - The overall gross margin improved to 40.19% in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by the growth in data communication and industrial interconnection markets [27]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to become a core beneficiary of Google's computing power expansion, with its data communication business projected to achieve rapid growth [3][55]. - The report highlights the potential for significant market opportunities in the AOC and MPO sectors, with the company already making strides in silicon photonics technology [2][49].