数据中心供配电设备行业跟踪：海外云厂商资本开支高增长，电力设备需求高企
Shanghai Aijian Securities·2025-12-30 06:43

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [3]. Core Insights - The data center industry has become a core incremental application scenario for the power equipment sector, directly driving demand growth and technological iteration in power equipment [6]. - The report emphasizes the need to incorporate multi-dimensional indicators from the AI industry to accurately assess the demand for power distribution equipment, given the capital expenditure characteristics of the data center industry [3][6]. - Key indicators are constructed from three aspects: demand side (capital expenditure trends of leading cloud vendors), supply chain (GPU supply capabilities), and AI application development [3][6]. Summary by Sections Demand Side - Capital expenditure from overseas cloud vendors reached $99.617 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.39% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.54% [8]. - Alibaba's capital expenditure was 31.5 billion yuan in Q3 2025, up 80.10% year-on-year but down 18.55% quarter-on-quarter [13]. - Tencent's capital expenditure was 13 billion yuan, down 24.05% year-on-year and 32.05% quarter-on-quarter [13]. Supply Chain - Nvidia's revenue in Q3 2025 reached 362.571 billion yuan, a historical peak with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 24.63% and a year-on-year growth of 62.49% [18]. - TSMC's revenue in November 2025 was 343.614 billion New Taiwan dollars, a year-on-year increase of 24.5% [24]. - The CPU price index in October 2025 was 98.20, showing a slight recovery from 96.15 in September [27]. Application Side - The number of AI models is steadily increasing, with a notable growth in application deployments [29]. - The token usage on OpenRouter from December 16 to December 22 was 5.70T, reflecting a 2.56% decrease [35]. - The price of tokens for models scoring over 40 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index dropped by over 50% in Q3 2025 [46].