Capital Securities·2025-12-30 07:36Investment Rating - The report rates the textile and apparel industry as "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector has underperformed the market, with a year-to-date increase of 12%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 4.1 percentage points, ranking 18th among 31 first-level industries [4][10] - The apparel and home textile segment has seen an 11.3% increase, while the textile manufacturing segment rose by 9.6%, and the accessories segment outperformed with a 17.4% increase [4][10] - The report highlights a potential recovery in demand for textile manufacturing due to stable domestic consumption and a resilient export market, particularly in the U.S. [4][19] - The sleep economy is expanding rapidly, driven by increasing health awareness and consumer spending on sleep-related products [4][63] - The gold and jewelry sector faces short-term demand suppression due to rising gold prices, but consumer spending on gold jewelry remains strong [4][63] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector has a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 27.48, above the historical average since January 2020 [4][14] - The apparel and home textile segment has a TTM P/E ratio of 29.07, while the textile manufacturing segment stands at 23.9, and the accessories segment at 30.27, all above historical averages [4][14] Textile Manufacturing - Raw material prices are at historical lows, with cotton and synthetic fiber prices declining, while Australian wool prices have recently increased [4][19] - Domestic retail sales are showing steady growth, with apparel sales experiencing a slight recovery [4][30] - Export performance is affected by fluctuating tariffs and weak external demand, with a 4.4% year-on-year decline in apparel exports from January to November [4][43] Apparel and Home Textiles - The sleep economy is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to exceed 500 billion yuan in 2024, driven by increased consumer awareness and spending on sleep health products [4][66] - The outdoor sports market is also expanding, with a trend towards specialization and segmentation, supported by rising consumer income levels [4][63] Gold and Jewelry - Gold prices have surged over 50% this year, temporarily suppressing demand for gold jewelry, but overall consumer budgets for gold jewelry are increasing [4][63] - The report notes that consumer preferences are shifting towards lighter and more innovative gold products, with a focus on craftsmanship and cultural connections [4][63] Investment Strategy - The report recommends investing in leading companies with strong barriers in production capacity, technology, and customer relationships within the textile manufacturing sector, such as Shenzhou International and Huayi Group [4][63] - For the apparel and home textile sector, it suggests focusing on high-growth segments related to the sleep economy and outdoor sports [4][63]