新宙邦(300037):受益于六氟价格弹性,氟化液竞争力凸显

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7] Core Insights - The company is benefiting from the price elasticity of hexafluorophosphate lithium, which has surged by 195% since October 1, 2025, reaching approximately 180,000 yuan/ton by December 29, 2025. This price increase is expected to positively impact the company's profitability as it has a production capacity of 24,000 tons/year, which is projected to increase to 36,000 tons/year by the end of 2025 [4] - The domestic fluorinated liquid market is entering a phase of dual drivers: domestic substitution and demand expansion, particularly following the exit of 3M. The company has established production capacities for hydrogen fluoride ether (3,000 tons/year) and perfluoropolyether (2,500 tons/year), with a high-end fluorochemical project of 30,000 tons/year underway [5] - The company is strategically expanding into new materials, particularly solid-state battery electrolytes, with its affiliate achieving mass production of oxide electrolytes. The acceleration of the solid-state battery industrialization process is expected to open new growth avenues for the company's battery materials business [6] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.2 billion yuan, 1.5 billion yuan, and 1.9 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.57 yuan, 2.06 yuan, and 2.55 yuan for the same years, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 33, 25, and 20 times [7][9]