兆易创新(603986):跟踪报告:受益于存储周期上行,多元布局打开增量空间
GigaDeviceGigaDevice(SH:603986) EBSCN·2025-12-30 09:33

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company benefits from an upward storage cycle driven by AI, leading to continuous price increases in storage products. The demand for high-performance inference services is growing, and in the context of a supply-demand imbalance for traditional large-capacity HDDs, CSPs are shifting storage demand towards QLC Enterprise SSDs. The overall supply-demand situation has resulted in price increases for various NAND Flash products. The company is expected to hold the largest market share in NOR Flash and SLC NAND Flash products in mainland China in 2024, with a second-largest share in niche DRAM, benefiting from the storage industry cycle [2][3]. Revenue and Profit Growth - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.832 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.92%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.083 billion yuan, up 30.18% year-on-year. The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 38.59%, a decrease of 0.87 percentage points, while the net profit margin increased by 1.45 percentage points to 16.17% [3][4]. Product Line Expansion - The company continues to enrich its product line, launching a dual-voltage SPI NOR Flash product specifically designed for 1.2V SoC applications, applicable in emerging fields such as smart wearables, healthcare, IoT, data centers, and edge AI. The company is one of the first to achieve mass production of 45nm node SPI NOR Flash. In the first half of 2025, the company introduced high-speed QSPI NAND Flash products with faster read speeds and bad block management features, applicable in industrial and IoT scenarios [3][4]. Niche DRAM Revenue Growth - The company's niche DRAM products are widely used in network communications, televisions, set-top boxes, smart homes, and industrial applications. In the first half of 2025, the promotion of the 8Gb DDR4 product was successful, leading to steady revenue growth, while LPDDR4 products began to contribute to revenue. With major overseas manufacturers exiting the niche DRAM market, supply is tight, resulting in increased revenue from niche DRAM products [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is recognized as a leading player in the domestic niche storage market, benefiting from the upward storage cycle. The diversified product layout is expected to further open up incremental space. The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 1.760 billion yuan and 2.551 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting increases of 9% and 22%. A new forecast for 2027 net profit is set at 2.911 billion yuan [4].