Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [3] Core Insights - The digital RMB introduces new functions such as value storage and interest-bearing capabilities, providing a complete monetary function and ensuring wallet balances are classified as "commercial bank liabilities" protected by deposit insurance, fundamentally changing its previous status as merely "digital cash" [1] - On the operational level, a "one global account" dual-layer architecture clarifies that commercial banks are the service and responsibility entities, allowing digital RMB deposits to be included in asset-liability management (after reserve requirements) for lending, addressing the previous lack of motivation for banks to promote it [1] - From a regulatory perspective, bank-like operating institutions are included in the reserve requirement system, while non-bank payment institutions are subject to a 100% margin requirement, effectively preventing financial disintermediation and shadow banking risks. Concurrently, eight departments jointly issued opinions to support the construction of the new western land-sea corridor, further expanding the application boundaries of digital RMB and proposing integrated solutions for "payment settlement + financing + tax refunds" based on smart contracts, leveraging its core advantages of "payment as settlement and low cost" [1] Summary by Sections Personal Users - The interest-bearing feature directly enhances the willingness to hold digital RMB, making digital RMB wallets equivalent to "interest-bearing demand deposit accounts," which, combined with deposit insurance, significantly boosts the activity and usage rate of personal wallets [2] Enterprises - The instant cross-border payment feature is well-suited for high-frequency scenarios such as bulk commodity trading and cross-border trade, greatly shortening settlement cycles. Smart contract technology supports automated processing of financing and tax refund processes, reducing manual intervention and compliance costs, particularly benefiting small and micro enterprises in expanding cross-border business [2] Financial Institutions - Commercial banks gain a new source of funds and can develop comprehensive financial products around interest-bearing wallets, enriching their business ecosystem [2] Macro Level - The activation of financial IT services, hardware terminal manufacturing, and scenario operation services markets will lead to concentrated demand for bank system upgrades, payment terminal transformations, and smart contract development, driving revenue growth across related industry chains [2] Data Insights - As of November 2025, the cumulative transactions of digital RMB reached 3.48 billion, amounting to 16.7 trillion yuan, with 230 million personal wallets and 18.84 million corporate wallets. The multilateral central bank digital currency bridge processed cross-border payments totaling 387.2 billion yuan, with digital RMB transactions accounting for 95.3% [9]
多元金融行业跟踪分析:数字人民币M1转型,累土渐起高台
GF SECURITIES·2025-12-30 10:14