Da Gong Guo Ji·2025-12-30 12:45Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the drone industry Core Insights - The Chinese drone industry has become a strategic emerging industry driven by national strategy, with a leading global market size and a complete industrial chain, transitioning from "manufacturing-led" to "technology-driven and ecosystem construction" [1] - The industry faces multiple challenges, including reliance on imported core technologies, long commercial return cycles, and international compliance and geopolitical risks, with future development focusing on intelligence, greening, airspace digitization, and market diversification [1] Strategic Positioning and Policy Support - The drone industry has rapidly developed under coordinated policy design, airspace management reform, and infrastructure construction, establishing a solid foundation for the large-scale application of the low-altitude economy [2] - The industry is defined as unmanned aerial vehicles operating in low-altitude airspace, which is recognized as a core carrier of the low-altitude economy [2] - A comprehensive policy framework has been established, including mandatory national standards and regulations to support the industry's standardized development [3][4] Market Size and Import-Export Patterns - The global drone market is projected to grow from USD 35.28 billion in 2024 to USD 67.64 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.90% [5] - The Chinese civil drone market is expected to reach approximately CNY 146.8 billion in 2024, with a forecasted market size exceeding CNY 400 billion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 18.3% from 2024 to 2030 [5] - China remains the world's largest drone manufacturer and exporter, with significant growth in both export volume and value [6][7] Industry Chain Structure and Layout - The Chinese drone industry has established a complete industrial chain from upstream core components to midstream manufacturing and downstream application services, showcasing global competitiveness [11] - The upstream sector includes critical components such as flight control systems and sensors, with a high reliance on imports for advanced technologies [13] - The midstream focuses on the research and production of consumer, industrial, and military drones, with leading companies dominating various segments [14] - The downstream application services cover logistics, agriculture, power inspection, and emergency rescue, with significant market shares held by key players [14] Core Challenges and Future Development Trends - The industry faces challenges such as reliance on imported high-end components, high commercialization costs in industrial applications, and complex certification processes [16] - Future trends indicate a shift towards intelligent, autonomous, and green technologies, with eVTOLs emerging as a new avenue for urban air mobility [17][18] - The integration of low-altitude economy and digital infrastructure is expected to enhance operational efficiency and regulatory compliance [18]