非银金融2026年投资策略：出海逐浪，金融乘势而行

Group 1 - The non-bank financial sector increased by 12.12% from early 2025 to December 28, 2025, ranking 19th among 31 primary industries, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 6.13 percentage points [4][12] - The price-to-earnings ratio for the non-bank financial sector is 11.62 times, ranking 23rd among primary industries, while the weighted price-to-book ratio is 1.79 times, the lowest 37th percentile in the past decade [4][12] - The adjusted revenue for 46 comparable listed brokerages reached 432.6 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 179 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 45% and 62% respectively [4][62] Group 2 - The insurance sector's net profit for five A-share listed insurance companies totaled 426 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 33.5% [4] - The report anticipates that the net profit of listed insurance companies will continue to maintain double-digit growth for the entire year of 2025, supported by better performance in the equity market in the fourth quarter compared to the same period last year [4] - The report highlights that the insurance sector's valuation may see continuous recovery due to synchronized improvement in assets and liabilities, along with potential overperformance in the "opening red" period [5] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of the securities industry as a financing intermediary for new productive forces and long-term capital allocation, recommending attention to brokerages with expected industry mergers, strong overseas business layouts, and effective wealth management transformations [5] - Specific beneficiaries include China Galaxy, GF Securities, Huatai Securities, and Dongfang Wealth, as well as the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which stands to benefit from active equity financing [5] - The report also identifies venture capital companies focusing on AI, robotics, and solid-state batteries as beneficiaries of accelerated IPOs in technology sectors [5] Group 4 - The report notes that the capital market in 2025 has shown a resilient upward trend, with daily trading volume in the A-share market averaging 17.23 billion yuan, an increase of 97% and 62% compared to 2023 and 2024 respectively [29][30] - The number of new A-share accounts opened in the Shanghai Stock Exchange reached 24.84 million in the first 11 months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8% [30] - The report indicates that the average daily turnover rate for A-shares in 2025 was 3.83%, significantly higher than the rates in 2023 and 2024 [38]