政策赋能商业航天高速发展,碳纤维底部确认景气有望回升
Shanxi Securities·2025-12-31 06:07

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "B" for the new materials sector, indicating a leading position in the market [2]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing rapid development driven by policy support, which is expected to significantly boost the carbon fiber industry. The market for carbon fiber composites is projected to double within five years, with demand anticipated to rise from hundreds of tons to thousands of tons [6]. - The actual consumption of carbon fiber in China is expected to reach 96,446 tons in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 71.89%, primarily driven by the wind power blade and aerospace sectors [6]. - The new materials sector index increased by 7.03%, outperforming the ChiNext index by 3.14% over the past week, with notable gains in various sub-sectors such as battery chemicals (up 13.29%) and semiconductor materials (up 6.30%) [3][18]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The new materials sector has shown strong performance, with the new materials index rising by 7.03% and various sub-sectors experiencing significant increases, including battery chemicals (up 13.29%) and semiconductor materials (up 6.30%) [3][18]. - The overall market performance for the week (December 22-26, 2025) saw the Shanghai Composite Index increase by 1.88% and the ChiNext Index by 3.90% [14]. Price Tracking - The report provides a weekly price tracking of various chemical raw materials, including stable prices for amino acids and biodegradable plastics, while some vitamins showed slight decreases [4]. - Carbon fiber prices remain stable, with leading companies announcing price increases for their products starting in 2026 [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the carbon fiber sector, such as Jilin Chemical Fiber, Zhongfu Shenying, Zhongjian Technology, and Guangwei Composites, as they are expected to benefit from the anticipated growth in demand [7].