绝对收益产品及策略周报（251222-251226）：上周233只固收+基金创新高-20251231

Group 1 - The report indicates that the stock side employs a small-cap growth portfolio combined with a non-timing stock-bond rebalancing strategy of 10/90 and 20/80, projecting cumulative returns of 6.80% and 12.44% by 2025 respectively [1] - As of December 26, 2025, the total market size of fixed income plus funds reached 21,730.41 billion, with 1,147 products, and 233 of these funds achieved historical net value highs last week [2][18] - The report highlights that 25 new products were launched last week, with median performance across various fund types showing divergence, such as mixed bond type I (0.09%), mixed bond type II (0.29%), and flexible allocation type (0.31%) [2][14] Group 2 - The macro environment forecast for Q4 2025 suggests an inflationary trend, with the CSI 300 index yielding 2.88% since December, while the total wealth index of government bonds yielded -0.10% [3] - The report recommends focusing on specific industry ETFs for December 2025, including Southern CSI Shenwan Nonferrous Metals ETF and Huabao CSI Bank ETF, with a combined return of 3.08% last week [3] - The absolute return strategy performance tracking indicates that the stock-bond 20/80 rebalancing strategy yielded 0.45% last week, while the stock-bond risk parity strategy yielded 0.28% [4] Group 3 - The report details that the small-cap growth style within the stock-bond 20/80 combination performed exceptionally well, achieving a year-to-date return of 12.44% [4] - The report also notes that the conservative, balanced, and aggressive fund median returns were 0.14%, 0.27%, and 0.39% respectively for the week ending December 26, 2025 [2][14] - The absolute return strategy performance tracking shows that the combined strategy of stock-bond and industry ETF rotation yielded returns of 0.68% and 0.31% respectively last week [4]