ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT(SZ:300308) Zhongyuan Securities·2025-12-31 08:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [2][18]. Core Insights - The company is planning to issue H shares to enhance its international financing capabilities and improve corporate governance, which is expected to support its high-quality development [5]. - The company is a leading global supplier of optical modules, with a focus on high-speed products such as 400G, 800G, and 1.6T modules, and has seen continuous growth in market share [7]. - The demand for high-end optical modules is expected to grow significantly, driven by increased capital expenditure from downstream customers and the rapid iteration of technology towards 1.6T and above [8]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 25.005 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.43%, and a net profit of 7.132 billion yuan, up 90.05% year-on-year [6][8]. - The gross margin for the company was reported at 40.74%, an increase of 7.42 percentage points compared to the previous year, indicating potential for further improvement [8]. - The company’s revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are 36.857 billion yuan, 65.035 billion yuan, and 89.835 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 10.358 billion yuan, 18.855 billion yuan, and 27.573 billion yuan [9]. Market Trends - The global optical module market is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.5% from 2024 to 2029, and the sales revenue of 800G optical modules expected to grow at a CAGR of 19.1% [8]. - The demand for 1.6T optical modules is anticipated to experience explosive growth, with a projected CAGR of 180.0% from 2024 to 2029, driven by the increasing requirements for higher bandwidth and lower power consumption [8].