KSTAR(SZ:002518) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-12-31 08:23Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Views - The company has a solid foundation in UPS and is expected to experience high growth driven by AIDC power and energy storage [5][7] - The data center business is the core foundation, with UPS sales achieving the top position among domestic brands for 24 consecutive years [7][10] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the AI server and new energy industry boom, with projected revenues of 51.48 billion, 63.82 billion, and 79.65 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [8][10] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 51.48 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23.8% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 7.47 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 89.4% [6] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.28 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 38 [6][8] Business Segments - The company has established a dual growth path with a robust basic plate in UPS and high growth in energy storage [5][7] - The energy storage segment is expected to expand significantly, driven by collaboration with CATL and demand from the SolarEdge ODM channel [7][10] - The company’s product line includes UPS, power modules, energy storage inverters, and charging modules, catering to data centers and new energy sectors [5][19] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has a mature manufacturing system and a long-standing presence in the power electronics industry, with approximately 50% of its market share coming from overseas [5][10] - The company is recognized for its ability to provide ODM solutions to overseas cloud manufacturers and equipment suppliers, enhancing its competitive edge [10][47] - The company has been ranked among the top five UPS suppliers globally for five consecutive years, indicating strong market positioning [47]