电子行业2026年度策略：算力需求景气高企，端侧AI持续迭代

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing iteration of large model technology, leading to a wave of innovation in AI-enabled consumer electronics, particularly in edge AI deployment, which offers low cost, high performance, and enhanced privacy security [4][20][26]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The electronic industry has shown a relative return of 30.2% over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index, with an absolute return of 47.9% [3]. - Traditional consumer electronics have entered a phase of low growth, with smartphone and PC sales stabilizing, while TWS (True Wireless Stereo) devices are also experiencing slow growth [15]. Group 2: Edge AI Development - The development of model compression technology has laid the groundwork for deploying large models on edge devices, enhancing the capabilities of edge AI [21][26]. - Companies like Huawei and ByteDance are showcasing significant applications of edge AI in smartphones, with products like the Doubao mobile assistant demonstrating the potential for complex operations and cross-application functionality [30][32]. Group 3: ASIC Demand - The demand for ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) is surging due to its cost-effectiveness and customization advantages over GPUs, with the market expected to grow from $6.6 billion in 2023 to $55 billion by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53% [5][71]. - Major tech companies are increasingly developing their own ASICs, with Google and Amazon leading the way in supplying these chips, further validating their performance and commercial value [9][71]. Group 4: PCB Market Growth - The demand for PCBs (Printed Circuit Boards) is expected to rise as AI companies and global internet giants invest heavily in data center expansions, with a projected CAGR of 21% in global data center capital expenditures by 2029 [6]. - The increasing complexity of AI servers and high-speed switches is driving up the value of individual PCBs, leading to a simultaneous increase in both volume and price [6][68]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the edge AI, ASIC, and PCB supply chains, maintaining a bullish outlook on the electronic industry [8][9]. - Specific companies to watch include Rockchip, Hengxuan Technology, and Horizon Robotics in the edge AI sector, and Chipone and Cambrian in the ASIC sector [9].